Premier League · 2023Sat, 9 Dec 2023, 12:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Crystal Palace

WLLDL

1–2Full-time recap

Liverpool

DWDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Crystal Palace	Liverpool
Shots	8 shots/match	14 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.74 xG/match▲	1.25 xG/match
Possession	24%	76%●
Corners	6 corners/match●	5 corners/match
Fouls	17 fouls/match	17 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Crystal Palace: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.74 xG. Liverpool: 14 shots, 2 on target, 1.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Crystal Palace 1.74 xG · Liverpool 1.21 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Crystal Palace, Liverpool. A second useful context is: Liverpool's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Crystal Palace, Liverpool.

2.71 days▲Rest daysCrystal Palace · Liverpool2.71 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Crystal Palace	Liverpool	Baseline
Rest days	2.71 days	2.71 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Liverpool have a visible away split

moderate

Liverpool's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.9 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season17.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.9 shots/match	17.5 shots/match	13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.3%PossessionCrystal Palace · Liverpool●59.9%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.6 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Crystal Palace	Liverpool	Baseline
Possession	44.3%	59.9%	49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Crystal Palace

2Draws

2Liverpool

25 Feb 2023Crystal Palace — Liverpool · Premier League0–0

15 Aug 2022Liverpool — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–1

23 Jan 2022Crystal Palace — Liverpool · Premier League1–3

18 Sept 2021Liverpool — Crystal Palace · Premier League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Crystal Palace favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Liverpool in 8 · 4 too close

0.94 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/16▲2.25 goals/match

1.44 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/16▲0.94 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 16/16▲2.04 xG/match

1.39 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 16/16▲1.25 xG/match

12.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/16▲17.5 shots/match

12.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1612.1 shots/match

4.13 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/16▲5.94 shots/match

3.56 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 16/163.88 shots/match

44.3%Possessionseason · 16/16●59.9%

4.63 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/16●6.63 corners/match

5.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/16▲5.06 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1611.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

31%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1631%

69%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/16▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Crystal Palace32.5

Liverpool77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Crystal Palace25.8

Liverpool90.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Crystal Palace72.5

Liverpool82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Crystal Palace57.5

Liverpool77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace57.5

Liverpool72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace27.5

Liverpool87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Crystal Palace38.8

Liverpool86.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Crystal Palace16 matchesLiverpool16 matches

0.94 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲2.25 goals/match

1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲0.94 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲2.04 xG/match

12.1 shots/matchShots16/16▲17.5 shots/match

4.13 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲5.94 shots/match

44.3%Possession16/16●59.9%

4.63 corners/matchCorners16/16●6.63 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Crystal Palace8 matchesLiverpool9 matches

0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/9▲1.67 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/9▲1.11 goals/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goals8/9▲1.63 xG/match

11.9 shots/matchShots8/9▲13.9 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target8/9▲4.22 shots/match

45.9%Possession8/9●55.1%

5 corners/matchCorners8/9●5.89 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls8/912.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.71 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.71 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Dec 2023, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4