PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Everton 0–3 Manchester United · Premier League

Everton

WLWDW
0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester United won 0–3.

Shots
249
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
2.472.22
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester United beat Everton 3–0. Recorded in this match (Everton – Manchester United): shots 24–9, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 2.47–2.22, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

weak

Everton's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match14.7 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Everton have a visible home split

moderate

Everton's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.7 shots/match14.7 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Manchester United have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.7%PossessionEverton · Manchester United● 53.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEvertonManchester UnitedBaseline
Possession40.7%53.8%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots9 shotsEverton 24 shots, Manchester United 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsEverton 6 shots, Manchester United 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.47 xG2.22 xGEverton 2.47 xG, Manchester United 2.22 xG
  • Possession51%49%Everton 51%, Manchester United 49%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersEverton 6 corners, Manchester United 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsEverton 10 fouls, Manchester United 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luke Shaw · Manchester United · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVitaliy Mykolenko · Everton · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIdrissa Gana Gueye · Everton · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVitaliy Mykolenko · Everton · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJames Garner · Everton · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJack Harrison · Everton · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dobbin · Everton · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVitaliy Mykolenko · Everton · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDwight McNeil · Everton · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Manchester United · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJames Garner · Everton · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIdrissa Gana Gueye · Everton · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Chermiti · Everton · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Doucouré · Everton · 69′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVitaliy Mykolenko · Everton · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHarry Maguire · Manchester United · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 3′ · 0.08 xG · goalDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 10′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJames Tarkowski · Everton · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 31′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 32′ · 0.12 xG · on targetFacundo Pellistri · Manchester United · 85′ · 0.12 xG · on targetYoussef Chermiti · Everton · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Doucouré · Everton · 33′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 41′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 71′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedIdrissa Gana Gueye · Everton · 41′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedDwight McNeil · Everton · 32′ · 0.35 xG · on targetJack Harrison · Everton · 90′ · 0.42 xG · on targetMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 56′ · 0.82 xG · goalAnthony Martial · Manchester United · 75′ · 0.83 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Everton: 24 shots, 6 on target, 2.53 xG. Manchester United: 9 shots, 4 on target, 2.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Alejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 3′Marcus Rashford · Manchester United · 56′Anthony Martial · Manchester United · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Everton 2.53 xG · Manchester United 2.28 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Everton
1Draws
2Manchester United
Manchester United — Everton · Premier League2–0
Everton — Manchester United · Premier League1–2
Everton — Manchester United · Premier League1–0
Manchester United — Everton · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Everton favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Manchester United in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Everton13 matchesManchester United13 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.23 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 1.23 goals/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.53 xG/match
14.7 shots/matchShots13/1314.4 shots/match
4.85 shots/matchShots on target13/134.69 shots/match
40.7%Possession13/13● 53.8%
4.85 corners/matchCorners13/13● 6.85 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls13/1310.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Nov 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEvertonManchester United
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headEverton — Manchester United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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