Premier League · 2023

Brentford 0–1 Arsenal · Premier League

0–1Historical match

Arsenal

WDWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Arsenal won 0–1.

Shots
915
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.191.65
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Arsenal beat Brentford 1–0. Recorded in this match (Brentford – Arsenal): shots 9–15, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.19–1.65, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brentford show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Brentford's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsBrentford · Arsenal14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrentfordArsenalBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match14.5 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match8.46 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Arsenal have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.9%PossessionBrentford · Arsenal● 61.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBrentfordArsenalBaseline
Possession46.9%61.2%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots15 shotsBrentford 9 shots, Arsenal 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsBrentford 3 shots, Arsenal 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.19 xG1.65 xGBrentford 1.19 xG, Arsenal 1.65 xG
  • Possession36%64%Brentford 36%, Arsenal 64%
  • Corners1 corner8 cornersBrentford 1 corner, Arsenal 8 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls7 foulsBrentford 9 fouls, Arsenal 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

William Saliba · Arsenal · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zinchenko · Arsenal · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYehor Yarmoliuk · Brentford · 71′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEddie Nketiah · Arsenal · 85′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 4′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSaman Ghoddos · Brentford · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 30′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKristoffer Ajer · Brentford · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNeal Maupay · Brentford · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 40′ · 0.10 xG · on targetTakehiro Tomiyasu · Arsenal · 88′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 13′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 25′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 13′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedKai Havertz · Arsenal · 89′ · 0.35 xG · goalGabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 42′ · 0.40 xG · on targetNeal Maupay · Brentford · 77′ · 0.41 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brentford: 9 shots, 1 on target, 1.26 xG. Arsenal: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Kai Havertz · Arsenal · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brentford 1.26 xG · Arsenal 1.63 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Brentford
1Draws
2Arsenal
Arsenal — Brentford · Premier League1–1
Brentford — Arsenal · Premier League0–3
Arsenal — Brentford · Premier League2–1
Brentford — Arsenal · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brentford favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Arsenal in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brentford13 matchesArsenal13 matches
1.46 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 2.08 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 0.77 goals/match
1.85 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.78 xG/match
14.2 shots/matchShots13/1314.5 shots/match
4.54 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 5.23 shots/match
46.9%Possession13/13● 61.2%
4.62 corners/matchCorners13/13● 8.77 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls13/139.46 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Nov 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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