Premier League · 2023

Nottingham Forest 0–1 Everton · Premier League

0–1Historical match

Everton

LWDWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Everton won 0–1.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.720.67
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Everton beat Nottingham Forest 1–0. Recorded in this match (Nottingham Forest – Everton): shots 13–12, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.72–0.67, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Everton have a visible away split

moderate

Everton's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match14.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Nottingham Forest show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Nottingham Forest's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsNottingham Forest · Everton14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNottingham ForestEvertonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match14.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsNottingham Forest 13 shots, Everton 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsNottingham Forest 2 shots, Everton 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.72 xG0.67 xGNottingham Forest 0.72 xG, Everton 0.67 xG
  • Possession62%38%Nottingham Forest 62%, Everton 38%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersNottingham Forest 4 corners, Everton 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls14 foulsNottingham Forest 15 fouls, Everton 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Idrissa Gana Gueye · Everton · 81′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJames Garner · Everton · 18′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDwight McNeil · Everton · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Elanga · Nottingham Forest · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSerge Aurier · Nottingham Forest · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Gibbs-White · Nottingham Forest · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDwight McNeil · Everton · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIdrissa Gana Gueye · Everton · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Elanga · Nottingham Forest · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Gibbs-White · Nottingham Forest · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Elanga · Nottingham Forest · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMurillo · Nottingham Forest · 86′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMorgan Gibbs-White · Nottingham Forest · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBeto · Everton · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Elanga · Nottingham Forest · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAshley Young · Everton · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDwight McNeil · Everton · 67′ · 0.06 xG · goalAnthony Elanga · Nottingham Forest · 31′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJames Tarkowski · Everton · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFelipe · Nottingham Forest · 54′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRyan Yates · Nottingham Forest · 78′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDwight McNeil · Everton · 43′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBeto · Everton · 16′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBeto · Everton · 22′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRyan Yates · Nottingham Forest · 74′ · 0.23 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nottingham Forest: 13 shots, 2 on target, 0.72 xG. Everton: 12 shots, 2 on target, 0.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Dwight McNeil · Everton · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nottingham Forest 0.72 xG · Everton 0.67 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Nottingham Forest
2Draws
0Everton
Nottingham Forest — Everton · Premier League2–2
Everton — Nottingham Forest · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nottingham Forest favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Everton in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nottingham Forest14 matchesEverton14 matches
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141.07 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.52 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 14.5 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 4.71 shots/match
41% ●Possession14/1440.5%
3.71 corners/matchCorners14/14● 4.71 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Dec 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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