Premier League · 2023

Tottenham Hotspur 1–2 Aston Villa · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Aston Villa won 1–2.

Shots
1815
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
2.341.76
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Aston Villa beat Tottenham Hotspur 2–1. Recorded in this match (Tottenham Hotspur – Aston Villa): shots 18–15, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 2.34–1.76, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Tottenham Hotspur's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match16.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots15 shotsTottenham Hotspur 18 shots, Aston Villa 15 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsTottenham Hotspur 8 shots, Aston Villa 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.34 xG1.76 xGTottenham Hotspur 2.34 xG, Aston Villa 1.76 xG
  • Possession62%38%Tottenham Hotspur 62%, Aston Villa 38%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersTottenham Hotspur 9 corners, Aston Villa 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsTottenham Hotspur 11 fouls, Aston Villa 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jhon Durán · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeon Bailey · Aston Villa · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiovani Lo Celso · Tottenham Hotspur · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Tottenham Hotspur · 73′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBoubacar Kamara · Aston Villa · 81′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEmerson Royal · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiovani Lo Celso · Tottenham Hotspur · 22′ · 0.05 xG · goalSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 55′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 67′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 7′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Diaby · Aston Villa · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeon Bailey · Aston Villa · 52′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLucas Digne · Aston Villa · 70′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 50′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJohn McGinn · Aston Villa · 60′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 74′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBryan Gil · Tottenham Hotspur · 7′ · 0.09 xG · on targetOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 61′ · 0.09 xG · goalPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 85′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDiego Carlos · Aston Villa · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMatty Cash · Aston Villa · 1′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPau Torres · Aston Villa · 45′ · 0.16 xG · goalLeon Bailey · Aston Villa · 72′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 3′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 71′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedPau Torres · Aston Villa · 5′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedBen Davies · Tottenham Hotspur · 68′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedDestiny Udogie · Tottenham Hotspur · 3′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 73′ · 0.42 xG · on targetOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 81′ · 0.43 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 3′ · 0.54 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 18 shots, 7 on target, 2.43 xG. Aston Villa: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Giovani Lo Celso · Tottenham Hotspur · 22′Pau Torres · Aston Villa · 45′Ollie Watkins · Aston Villa · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 2.43 xG · Aston Villa 1.77 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Tottenham Hotspur
0Draws
2Aston Villa
Aston Villa — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–1
Tottenham Hotspur — Aston Villa · Premier League0–2
Aston Villa — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–4
Tottenham Hotspur — Aston Villa · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tottenham Hotspur favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Aston Villa in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur13 matchesAston Villa13 matches
1.92 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 2.38 goals/match
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.38 goals/match
1.67 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 2 xG/match
16.2 shots/match ▲Shots13/1314.9 shots/match
5.92 shots/matchShots on target13/135.69 shots/match
60.2% ●Possession13/1352.5%
5.46 corners/matchCorners13/13● 5.85 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls13/1310.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Nov 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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