PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Manchester City 3–3 Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League

3–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur drew 3–3.

Shots
178
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
2.570.46
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Manchester City – Tottenham Hotspur): shots 17–8, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 2.57–0.46, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Tottenham Hotspur's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match15.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Manchester City have a visible home split

moderate

Manchester City's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match16.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Tottenham Hotspur show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester City · Tottenham Hotspur15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityTottenham HotspurBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match15.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against7.57 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots8 shotsManchester City 17 shots, Tottenham Hotspur 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsManchester City 4 shots, Tottenham Hotspur 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.57 xG0.46 xGManchester City 2.57 xG, Tottenham Hotspur 0.46 xG
  • Possession55%45%Manchester City 55%, Tottenham Hotspur 45%
  • Corners10 corners8 cornersManchester City 10 corners, Tottenham Hotspur 8 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls14 foulsManchester City 14 fouls, Tottenham Hotspur 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Manchester City
0Draws
3Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur — Manchester City · Premier League1–0
Manchester City — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League4–2
Manchester City — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–3
Tottenham Hotspur — Manchester City · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester City favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester City14 matchesTottenham Hotspur14 matches
2.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/142 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.43 goals/match
2.06 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.58 xG/match
16.5 shots/match ▲Shots14/1415.6 shots/match
6.93 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/145.79 shots/match
61.9% ●Possession14/1459.1%
7.07 corners/match ●Corners14/145.64 corners/match
9.29 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Dec 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester CityTottenham Hotspur
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headManchester City — Tottenham Hotspur
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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