Premier League · 2023

Liverpool 4–3 Fulham · Premier League

4–3Historical match

Fulham

LDLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Liverpool won 4–3.

Shots
269
Shots on target
125
Expected goals
2.231.21
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Liverpool beat Fulham 4–3. Recorded in this match (Liverpool – Fulham): shots 26–9, shots on target 12–5, expected goals 2.23–1.21, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fulham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Liverpool have a visible home split

moderate

Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

22.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season17.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots22.1 shots/match17.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.9 shots/match ▲ShotsLiverpool · Fulham11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolFulhamBaseline
Shots17.9 shots/match11 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots9 shotsLiverpool 26 shots, Fulham 9 shots
  • Shots on target12 shots5 shotsLiverpool 12 shots, Fulham 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.23 xG1.21 xGLiverpool 2.23 xG, Fulham 1.21 xG
  • Possession61%39%Liverpool 61%, Fulham 39%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersLiverpool 3 corners, Fulham 4 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls7 foulsLiverpool 6 fouls, Fulham 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Liverpool
1Draws
0Fulham
Liverpool — Fulham · Premier League1–0
Fulham — Liverpool · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Liverpool favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Fulham in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Liverpool14 matchesFulham14 matches
2.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141.14 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.86 goals/match
2.12 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.19 xG/match
17.9 shots/match ▲Shots14/1411 shots/match
6.07 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/143.86 shots/match
57.6% ●Possession14/1448.9%
6.36 corners/match ●Corners14/145.07 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1410.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Dec 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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