PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Crystal Palace 1–1 Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Crystal Palace and Brighton & Hove Albion drew 1–1.

Shots
1118
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.351.19
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Crystal Palace and Brighton & Hove Albion drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Crystal Palace – Brighton & Hove Albion): shots 11–18, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.35–1.19, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brighton & Hove Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.89 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Brighton & Hove Albion have a visible away split

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.7%PossessionCrystal Palace · Brighton & Hove Albion● 61.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCrystal PalaceBrighton & Hove AlbionBaseline
Possession42.7%61.9%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots18 shotsCrystal Palace 11 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsCrystal Palace 3 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.35 xG1.19 xGCrystal Palace 1.35 xG, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.19 xG
  • Possession34%66%Crystal Palace 34%, Brighton & Hove Albion 66%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerCrystal Palace 3 corners, Brighton & Hove Albion 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsCrystal Palace 12 fouls, Brighton & Hove Albion 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jefferson Lerma · Crystal Palace · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 40′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 58′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBilly Gilmour · Brighton & Hove Albion · 65′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 82′ · 0.03 xG · goalMichael Olise · Crystal Palace · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 19′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 88′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · 34′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 81′ · 0.07 xG · on targetCarlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 19′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJack Hinshelwood · Brighton & Hove Albion · 55′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Buonanotte · Brighton & Hove Albion · 65′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Crystal Palace · 36′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 51′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dunk · Brighton & Hove Albion · 54′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJan Paul van Hecke · Brighton & Hove Albion · 69′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJack Hinshelwood · Brighton & Hove Albion · 66′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 78′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedJordan Ayew · Crystal Palace · 33′ · 0.25 xG · on targetJordan Ayew · Crystal Palace · 45′ · 0.48 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Crystal Palace: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.34 xG. Brighton & Hove Albion: 18 shots, 6 on target, 1.19 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jordan Ayew · Crystal Palace · 45′Danny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Crystal Palace 1.34 xG · Brighton & Hove Albion 1.19 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Crystal Palace
3Draws
1Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–0
Crystal Palace — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–1
Brighton & Hove Albion — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–1
Crystal Palace — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Crystal Palace favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Crystal Palace18 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion18 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.89 goals/match
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.72 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 1.65 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 15.1 shots/match
3.94 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 6.17 shots/match
42.7%Possession18/18● 61.9%
4.33 corners/matchCorners18/18● 5.28 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls18/1810.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 22 Dec 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCrystal PalaceBrighton & Hove Albion
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headCrystal Palace — Brighton & Hove Albion
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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