PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Aston Villa 1–1 Sheffield United · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Aston Villa and Sheffield United drew 1–1.

Shots
125
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
0.860.58
Possession
78%22%

Full time

What the match recorded

Aston Villa and Sheffield United drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Aston Villa – Sheffield United): shots 12–5, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 0.86–0.58, possession 78%–22%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sheffield United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.72 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.72 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sheffield United show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Sheffield United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAston Villa · Sheffield United8.17 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAston VillaSheffield UnitedBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match8.17 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against9.89 shots/match17.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Aston Villa have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.2% ●PossessionAston Villa · Sheffield United35.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAston VillaSheffield UnitedBaseline
Possession54.2%35.9%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots5 shotsAston Villa 12 shots, Sheffield United 5 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsAston Villa 4 shots, Sheffield United 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.86 xG0.58 xGAston Villa 0.86 xG, Sheffield United 0.58 xG
  • Possession78%22%Aston Villa 78%, Sheffield United 22%
  • Corners9 corners1 cornerAston Villa 9 corners, Sheffield United 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsAston Villa 11 fouls, Sheffield United 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lucas Digne · Aston Villa · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Souza · Sheffield United · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatty Cash · Aston Villa · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedClément Lenglet · Aston Villa · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeon Bailey · Aston Villa · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOliver Norwood · Sheffield United · 78′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOliver Norwood · Sheffield United · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDouglas Luiz · Aston Villa · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCameron Archer · Sheffield United · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 80′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMoussa Diaby · Aston Villa · 17′ · 0.10 xG · on targetEzri Konsa · Aston Villa · 22′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Moreno · Aston Villa · 89′ · 0.16 xG · on targetNicolò Zaniolo · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.17 xG · goalCameron Archer · Sheffield United · 87′ · 0.49 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Aston Villa: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.84 xG. Sheffield United: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Nicolò Zaniolo · Aston Villa · 90′Cameron Archer · Sheffield United · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Aston Villa 0.84 xG · Sheffield United 0.59 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Aston Villa favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Sheffield United in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Aston Villa18 matchesSheffield United18 matches
2.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/180.72 goals/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/182.44 goals/match
1.77 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/180.76 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots18/188.17 shots/match
5.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/182.56 shots/match
54.2% ●Possession18/1835.9%
6.22 corners/match ●Corners18/183.22 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Dec 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAston VillaSheffield United
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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