PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Arsenal 2–0 Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League

Arsenal

WWWWL
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Arsenal won 2–0.

Shots
266
Shots on target
91
Expected goals
2.340.69
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Arsenal beat Brighton & Hove Albion 2–0. Recorded in this match (Arsenal – Brighton & Hove Albion): shots 26–6, shots on target 9–1, expected goals 2.34–0.69, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brighton & Hove Albion have a visible away split

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match14.9 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Arsenal's recent record differs from the season

weak

Arsenal's last-five shots average is above their season average.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots19 shots/match15.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Brighton & Hove Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Brighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsArsenal · Brighton & Hove Albion14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricArsenalBrighton & Hove AlbionBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match14.9 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against8.12 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots6 shotsArsenal 26 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 6 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots1 shotArsenal 9 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.34 xG0.69 xGArsenal 2.34 xG, Brighton & Hove Albion 0.69 xG
  • Possession49%51%Arsenal 49%, Brighton & Hove Albion 51%
  • Corners10 corners1 cornerArsenal 10 corners, Brighton & Hove Albion 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsArsenal 11 fouls, Brighton & Hove Albion 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dunk · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBen White · Arsenal · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 19′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 84′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 23′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEmile Smith Rowe · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKai Havertz · Arsenal · 39′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJack Hinshelwood · Brighton & Hove Albion · 64′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 15′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 85′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 64′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJack Hinshelwood · Brighton & Hove Albion · 86′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 32′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedKai Havertz · Arsenal · 1′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKai Havertz · Arsenal · 75′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 74′ · 0.23 xG · on targetGabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 53′ · 0.32 xG · goalKai Havertz · Arsenal · 87′ · 0.34 xG · goalPascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 82′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Arsenal: 26 shots, 8 on target, 2.34 xG. Brighton & Hove Albion: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Gabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 53′Kai Havertz · Arsenal · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Arsenal 2.34 xG · Brighton & Hove Albion 0.69 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Arsenal
1Draws
2Brighton & Hove Albion
Arsenal — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League0–3
Brighton & Hove Albion — Arsenal · Premier League2–4
Arsenal — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–2
Brighton & Hove Albion — Arsenal · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Arsenal favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Arsenal17 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion17 matches
2.06 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/171.94 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.76 goals/match
1.88 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/171.68 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots17/1714.9 shots/match
5.71 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 6.18 shots/match
60.6%Possession17/17● 61.6%
8.18 corners/match ●Corners17/175.53 corners/match
9.53 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Dec 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsArsenalBrighton & Hove Albion
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headArsenal — Brighton & Hove Albion
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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