Premier League · 2023

Wolverhampton 2–1 Chelsea · Premier League

2–1Historical match

Chelsea

LWLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Wolverhampton won 2–1.

Shots
1416
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.272.06
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wolverhampton beat Chelsea 2–1. Recorded in this match (Wolverhampton – Chelsea): shots 14–16, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.27–2.06, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wolverhampton's recent record differs from the season

weak

Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.28 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.28 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Chelsea have recorded the higher season possession share.

48%PossessionWolverhampton · Chelsea● 59.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricWolverhamptonChelseaBaseline
Possession48%59.8%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots16 shotsWolverhampton 14 shots, Chelsea 16 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsWolverhampton 6 shots, Chelsea 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.27 xG2.06 xGWolverhampton 1.27 xG, Chelsea 2.06 xG
  • Possession32%68%Wolverhampton 32%, Chelsea 68%
  • Corners10 corners6 cornersWolverhampton 10 corners, Chelsea 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsWolverhampton 11 fouls, Chelsea 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 55′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMalo Gusto · Chelsea · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedConor Gallagher · Chelsea · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoão Gomes · Wolverhampton · 63′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCole Palmer · Chelsea · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTommy Doyle · Wolverhampton · 82′ · 0.04 xG · on targetConor Gallagher · Chelsea · 32′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJoão Gomes · Wolverhampton · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Nkunku · Chelsea · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCraig Dawson · Wolverhampton · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 51′ · 0.08 xG · goalPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 31′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedConor Gallagher · Chelsea · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Nkunku · Chelsea · 63′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRaheem Sterling · Chelsea · 29′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 42′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRaheem Sterling · Chelsea · 66′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedArmando Broja · Chelsea · 11′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedHwang Hee-chan · Wolverhampton · 44′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Nkunku · Chelsea · 84′ · 0.16 xG · on targetToti Gomes · Wolverhampton · 48′ · 0.22 xG · on targetMatt Doherty · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.31 xG · goalChristopher Nkunku · Chelsea · 90′ · 0.51 xG · goalRaheem Sterling · Chelsea · 32′ · 0.57 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Wolverhampton: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.28 xG. Chelsea: 16 shots, 4 on target, 2.03 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Mario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 51′Matt Doherty · Wolverhampton · 90′Christopher Nkunku · Chelsea · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wolverhampton 1.28 xG · Chelsea 2.03 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Wolverhampton
2Draws
1Chelsea
Wolverhampton — Chelsea · Premier League1–0
Chelsea — Wolverhampton · Premier League3–0
Chelsea — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–2
Wolverhampton — Chelsea · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wolverhampton favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Chelsea in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wolverhampton18 matchesChelsea18 matches
1.28 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.61 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 1.56 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 1.99 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 13.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 4.89 shots/match
48%Possession18/18● 59.8%
4.56 corners/matchCorners18/18● 5.28 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Dec 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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