Premier League · 2023

Liverpool 1–1 Arsenal · Premier League

1–1Historical match

Arsenal

WWWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Liverpool and Arsenal drew 1–1.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.970.74
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Liverpool and Arsenal drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Liverpool – Arsenal): shots 13–13, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.97–0.74, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.78 corners/matchCornersLiverpool · Arsenal● 8 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolArsenalBaseline
Corners6.78 corners/match8 corners/match5.18 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Liverpool have a visible home split

moderate

Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

22.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season18.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots22.4 shots/match18.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Arsenal's recent record differs from the season

weak

Arsenal's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots18.6 shots/match15.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsLiverpool 13 shots, Arsenal 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsLiverpool 3 shots, Arsenal 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.97 xG0.74 xGLiverpool 0.97 xG, Arsenal 0.74 xG
  • Possession51%49%Liverpool 51%, Arsenal 49%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersLiverpool 4 corners, Arsenal 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls14 foulsLiverpool 13 fouls, Arsenal 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luis Díaz · Liverpool · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoe Gomez · Liverpool · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Elliott · Liverpool · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKai Havertz · Arsenal · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoe Gomez · Liverpool · 74′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zinchenko · Arsenal · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zinchenko · Arsenal · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 1′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 29′ · 0.08 xG · goalMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 50′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 52′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 14′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 4′ · 0.12 xG · goalGabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 2′ · 0.13 xG · on targetGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 41′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 72′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Liverpool: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.96 xG. Arsenal: 13 shots, 2 on target, 0.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Mohamed Salah · Liverpool · 29′Gabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 4′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 0.96 xG · Arsenal 0.73 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Liverpool
1Draws
1Arsenal
Liverpool — Arsenal · Premier League2–2
Arsenal — Liverpool · Premier League3–2
Arsenal — Liverpool · Premier League0–2
Liverpool — Arsenal · Premier League4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Liverpool favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Arsenal in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Liverpool18 matchesArsenal18 matches
2.06 goals/matchGoals scored18/182 goals/match
0.89 goals/matchGoals allowed18/180.89 goals/match
2 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.82 xG/match
18.2 shots/match ▲Shots18/1815.7 shots/match
5.89 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/185.5 shots/match
59.9%Possession18/18● 59.9%
6.78 corners/matchCorners18/18● 8 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls18/189.78 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Dec 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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