PitchMath
Premier League · 2023Wed, 27 Dec 2023, 19:30 UTCFull timeHistorical match
1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBrentfordWolverhampton
Shots14 shots/match▲11 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Expected goals2.23 xG/match2.39 xG/match▲
Possession61%●39%
Corners8 corners/match●2 corners/match
Fouls5 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Mathias Jensen · Brentford · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSaman Ghoddos · Brentford · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olakigbe · Brentford · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoão Gomes · Wolverhampton · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEthan Pinnock · Brentford · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVitaly Janelt · Brentford · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoão Gomes · Wolverhampton · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKeane Lewis-Potter · Brentford · 53′ · 0.06 xG · on targetChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 55′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJean-Ricner Bellegarde · Wolverhampton · 89′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 75′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNeal Maupay · Brentford · 45′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 16′ · 0.16 xG · goalMikkel Damsgaard · Brentford · 47′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedKeane Lewis-Potter · Brentford · 47′ · 0.28 xG · on targetMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 13′ · 0.30 xG · goalJean-Ricner Bellegarde · Wolverhampton · 79′ · 0.32 xG · goalVitaly Janelt · Brentford · 18′ · 0.45 xG · on targetHwang Hee-chan · Wolverhampton · 28′ · 0.45 xG · goalNathan Collins · Brentford · 40′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blockedHwang Hee-chan · Wolverhampton · 14′ · 0.96 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brentford: 14 shots, 4 on target, 2.19 xG. Wolverhampton: 11 shots, 5 on target, 2.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Yoane Wissa · Brentford · 16′Mario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 13′Hwang Hee-chan · Wolverhampton · 14′Hwang Hee-chan · Wolverhampton · 28′Jean-Ricner Bellegarde · Wolverhampton · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brentford 2.19 xG · Wolverhampton 2.36 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Wolverhampton. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Wolverhampton.

10.2 days▲Rest daysBrentford · Wolverhampton3.27 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBrentfordWolverhamptonBaseline
Rest days10.2 days3.27 days—
Matches last 14 days1 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Brentford
1Draws
2Wolverhampton
Wolverhampton — Brentford · Premier League2–0
Brentford — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–1
Brentford — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–2
Wolverhampton — Brentford · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Brentford favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Wolverhampton in 1 · 4 too close

1.39 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 18/191.42 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 18/191.63 goals/match
1.8 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 18/191.33 xG/match
1.37 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 18/191.74 xG/match
13.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 18/1911.5 shots/match
13.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 18/1914.2 shots/match
4.33 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 18/194.05 shots/match
4.22 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 18/194.95 shots/match
48.4%●Possessionseason · 18/1947.5%
4.89 corners/match●Cornersseason · 18/194.42 corners/match
5.5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 18/195.79 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/1913.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/1911%
78%Scoring frequencyseason · 18/19▲89%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brentford47.5
Wolverhampton37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brentford45.8
Wolverhampton34.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brentford57.5
Wolverhampton38.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brentford77.5
Wolverhampton22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brentford37.5
Wolverhampton97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brentford27.5
Wolverhampton17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brentford40
Wolverhampton42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Brentford18 matchesWolverhampton19 matches
1.39 goals/matchGoals scored18/191.42 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed18/191.63 goals/match
1.8 xG/match▲Expected goals18/191.33 xG/match
13.7 shots/match▲Shots18/1911.5 shots/match
4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target18/194.05 shots/match
48.4%●Possession18/1947.5%
4.89 corners/match●Corners18/194.42 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.9 fouls/matchFouls18/1913.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Brentford10 matchesWolverhampton10 matches
1.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.7 goals/match
1.94 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.4 xG/match
14.9 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.1 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.2 shots/match
51.6%●Possession10/1050.9%
4.9 corners/match●Corners10/103.5 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

10.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.27 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples18 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 27 Dec 2023, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBrentfordWolverhampton
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headBrentford — Wolverhampton
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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