Premier League · 2023

Crystal Palace 3–1 Brentford · Premier League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Crystal Palace won 3–1.

Shots
139
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
0.981.39
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Crystal Palace beat Brentford 3–1. Recorded in this match (Crystal Palace – Brentford): shots 13–9, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 0.98–1.39, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Crystal Palace, Brentford.

2.81 days ▲Rest daysCrystal Palace · Brentford2.81 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCrystal PalaceBrentfordBaseline
Rest days2.81 days2.81 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots9 shotsCrystal Palace 13 shots, Brentford 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsCrystal Palace 6 shots, Brentford 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.98 xG1.39 xGCrystal Palace 0.98 xG, Brentford 1.39 xG
  • Possession46%54%Crystal Palace 46%, Brentford 54%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersCrystal Palace 7 corners, Brentford 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls10 foulsCrystal Palace 14 fouls, Brentford 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Michael Olise · Crystal Palace · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSaman Ghoddos · Brentford · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNeal Maupay · Brentford · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJefferson Lerma · Crystal Palace · 16′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSaman Ghoddos · Brentford · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNathan Collins · Brentford · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNeal Maupay · Brentford · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordan Ayew · Crystal Palace · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Crystal Palace · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Crystal Palace · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJefferson Lerma · Crystal Palace · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Crystal Palace · 58′ · 0.07 xG · goalEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 72′ · 0.07 xG · on targetChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 53′ · 0.08 xG · on targetEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 39′ · 0.10 xG · goalJoachim Andersen · Crystal Palace · 89′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Crystal Palace · 58′ · 0.14 xG · on targetKeane Lewis-Potter · Brentford · 18′ · 0.15 xG · on targetMichael Olise · Crystal Palace · 14′ · 0.20 xG · goalKeane Lewis-Potter · Brentford · 2′ · 0.44 xG · goalYoane Wissa · Brentford · 76′ · 0.59 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Crystal Palace: 13 shots, 6 on target, 0.97 xG. Brentford: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Michael Olise · Crystal Palace · 14′Eberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 39′Michael Olise · Crystal Palace · 58′Keane Lewis-Potter · Brentford · 2′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Crystal Palace 0.97 xG · Brentford 1.39 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Crystal Palace
5Draws
0Brentford
Brentford — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–1
Brentford — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–1
Crystal Palace — Brentford · Premier League1–1
Brentford — Crystal Palace · Premier League0–0
Crystal Palace — Brentford · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Crystal Palace favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Brentford in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Crystal Palace20 matchesBrentford19 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored20/19▲ 1.37 goals/match
1.45 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/191.63 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals20/19▲ 1.78 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots20/19▲ 13.5 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on target20/19▲ 4.32 shots/match
42.6%Possession20/19● 48.7%
4.4 corners/matchCorners20/19● 4.84 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls20/1910.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Dec 2023, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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