Premier League · 2023

Brentford 1–4 Liverpool · Premier League

1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Liverpool won 1–4.

Shots
1515
Shots on target
68
Expected goals
1.692.82
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Liverpool beat Brentford 4–1. Recorded in this match (Brentford – Liverpool): shots 15–15, shots on target 6–8, expected goals 1.69–2.82, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Liverpool's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Liverpool's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match2.36 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Liverpool have a visible away split

strong

Liverpool's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season18.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match18.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsBrentford · Liverpool18.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrentfordLiverpoolBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match18.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match11.2 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots15 shotsBrentford 15 shots, Liverpool 15 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots8 shotsBrentford 6 shots, Liverpool 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.69 xG2.82 xGBrentford 1.69 xG, Liverpool 2.82 xG
  • Possession37%63%Brentford 37%, Liverpool 63%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersBrentford 1 corner, Liverpool 6 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls18 foulsBrentford 4 fouls, Liverpool 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Wataru Endo · Liverpool · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMathias Jensen · Brentford · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Brentford · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 21′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVitaly Janelt · Brentford · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Brentford · 18′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIvan Toney · Brentford · 20′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNathan Collins · Brentford · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNeal Maupay · Brentford · 36′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIvan Toney · Brentford · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Brentford · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedConor Bradley · Liverpool · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 67′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 68′ · 0.10 xG · goalHarvey Elliott · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Brentford · 15′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSergio Reguilón · Brentford · 75′ · 0.12 xG · on targetIvan Toney · Brentford · 90′ · 0.15 xG · on targetConor Bradley · Liverpool · 10′ · 0.16 xG · on targetIvan Toney · Brentford · 75′ · 0.26 xG · goalDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 10′ · 0.29 xG · on targetAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 55′ · 0.34 xG · goalMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 51′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 86′ · 0.54 xG · goalDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 35′ · 0.63 xG · goalBen Mee · Brentford · 90′ · 0.79 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brentford: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.81 xG. Liverpool: 15 shots, 8 on target, 2.90 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Ivan Toney · Brentford · 75′Darwin Núñez · Liverpool · 35′Alexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 55′Mohamed Salah · Liverpool · 68′Cody Gakpo · Liverpool · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brentford 1.81 xG · Liverpool 2.90 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Brentford
1Draws
3Liverpool
Liverpool — Brentford · Premier League3–0
Liverpool — Brentford · Premier League1–0
Brentford — Liverpool · Premier League3–1
Liverpool — Brentford · Premier League3–0
Brentford — Liverpool · Premier League3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brentford favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Liverpool in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brentford24 matchesLiverpool25 matches
1.46 goals/matchGoals scored24/25▲ 2.36 goals/match
1.79 goals/matchGoals allowed24/25▲ 0.96 goals/match
1.72 xG/matchExpected goals24/25▲ 2.22 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots24/25▲ 18.9 shots/match
4.46 shots/matchShots on target24/25▲ 6.8 shots/match
45.8%Possession24/25● 60.5%
4.75 corners/matchCorners24/25● 6.6 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls24/2512.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Feb 2024, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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