Premier League · 2023

Manchester City 1–0 Brentford · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 1–0.

Shots
256
Shots on target
112
Expected goals
2.450.35
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat Brentford 1–0. Recorded in this match (Manchester City – Brentford): shots 25–6, shots on target 11–2, expected goals 2.45–0.35, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Manchester City, Brentford.

3.08 days ▲Rest daysManchester City · Brentford3.29 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricManchester CityBrentfordBaseline
Rest days3.08 days3.29 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Manchester City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Manchester City's last-five shots average is above their season average.

22.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season18.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots22.8 shots/match18.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Brentford show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Brentford's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

18.1 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester City · Brentford12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityBrentfordBaseline
Shots18.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against7.88 shots/match14.5 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots6 shotsManchester City 25 shots, Brentford 6 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots2 shotsManchester City 11 shots, Brentford 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.45 xG0.35 xGManchester City 2.45 xG, Brentford 0.35 xG
  • Possession70%30%Manchester City 70%, Brentford 30%
  • Corners10 corners1 cornerManchester City 10 corners, Brentford 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls6 foulsManchester City 12 fouls, Brentford 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sergio Reguilón · Brentford · 11′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFrank Onyeka · Brentford · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManuel Akanji · Manchester City · 35′ · 0.02 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 3′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPhil Foden · Manchester City · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedManuel Akanji · Manchester City · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJohn Stones · Manchester City · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIvan Toney · Brentford · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 84′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPhil Foden · Manchester City · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 88′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPhil Foden · Manchester City · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Brentford · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRúben Dias · Manchester City · 36′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRodri · Manchester City · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRodri · Manchester City · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 26′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFrank Onyeka · Brentford · 43′ · 0.09 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetRúben Dias · Manchester City · 44′ · 0.12 xG · on targetFrank Onyeka · Brentford · 16′ · 0.15 xG · on targetJohn Stones · Manchester City · 36′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.21 xG · on targetOscar Bobb · Manchester City · 37′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 34′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 30′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 71′ · 0.31 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester City: 25 shots, 10 on target, 2.44 xG. Brentford: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Erling Haaland · Manchester City · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester City 2.44 xG · Brentford 0.35 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Manchester City
0Draws
2Brentford
Brentford — Manchester City · Premier League1–3
Brentford — Manchester City · Premier League1–0
Manchester City — Brentford · Premier League1–2
Manchester City — Brentford · Premier League2–0
Brentford — Manchester City · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester City favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Brentford in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester City25 matchesBrentford25 matches
2.32 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.4 goals/match
1.04 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.76 goals/match
2.04 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.67 xG/match
18.1 shots/match ▲Shots25/2512.6 shots/match
7.17 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/254.36 shots/match
65.8% ●Possession25/2545.2%
7.68 corners/match ●Corners25/254.6 corners/match
8.4 fouls/matchFouls25/2510.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 20 Feb 2024, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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