Premier League · 2023Sat, 24 Feb 2024, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Manchester United

DWWWW

1–2Full-time recap

Fulham

LDDWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Manchester United	Fulham
Shots	21 shots/match▲	17 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	1.72 xG/match▲	1.2 xG/match
Possession	57%●	43%
Corners	10 corners/match●	9 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Manchester United: 21 shots, 8 on target, 1.70 xG. Fulham: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.19 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester United 1.70 xG · Fulham 1.19 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Fulham's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Manchester United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.4 goals/match	1.38 goals/match	1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fulham have a visible away split

moderate

Fulham's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.1 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.1 shots/match	12.4 shots/match	13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Manchester United

0Draws

0Fulham

4 Nov 2023Fulham — Manchester United · Premier League0–1

28 May 2023Manchester United — Fulham · Premier League2–1

13 Nov 2022Fulham — Manchester United · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Manchester United favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Fulham in 2 · 4 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/261.38 goals/match

1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 26/261.62 goals/match

1.56 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 26/261.27 xG/match

1.67 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 26/261.78 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 26/2612.4 shots/match

16 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/26▲14.2 shots/match

4.92 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 26/264.46 shots/match

5.08 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/265.27 shots/match

51.2%●Possessionseason · 26/2650.7%

6.46 corners/match●Cornersseason · 26/265.58 corners/match

6.69 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/26▲4.88 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/269.73 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

27%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/2623%

73%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2662%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Manchester United57.5

Fulham52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Manchester United55

Fulham38.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Manchester United45.8

Fulham40.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Manchester United77.5

Fulham17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Manchester United27.5

Fulham12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Manchester United82.5

Fulham57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Manchester United60

Fulham37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Manchester United26 matchesFulham26 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored26/261.38 goals/match

1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowed26/261.62 goals/match

1.56 xG/match▲Expected goals26/261.27 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots26/2612.4 shots/match

4.92 shots/match▲Shots on target26/264.46 shots/match

51.2%●Possession26/2650.7%

6.46 corners/match●Corners26/265.58 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls26/269.73 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Manchester United13 matchesFulham13 matches

1.46 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131 goals/match

1.54 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/132.08 goals/match

1.66 xG/match▲Expected goals13/130.93 xG/match

16.3 shots/match▲Shots13/1310.1 shots/match

5.38 shots/match▲Shots on target13/134.23 shots/match

54.7%●Possession13/1343.1%

8.46 corners/match●Corners13/134.62 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.77 fouls/matchFouls13/1310.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.94 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples26 / 26home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Feb 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Manchester United's recent record differs from the season

Fulham have a visible away split

Head-to-head

Team comparison

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match