Premier League · 2023

Manchester United 1–2 Fulham · Premier League

1–2Historical match

Fulham

LDDWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fulham won 1–2.

Shots
2117
Shots on target
95
Expected goals
1.721.2
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fulham beat Manchester United 2–1. Recorded in this match (Manchester United – Fulham): shots 21–17, shots on target 9–5, expected goals 1.72–1.2, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Manchester United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fulham have a visible away split

moderate

Fulham's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots17 shotsManchester United 21 shots, Fulham 17 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots5 shotsManchester United 9 shots, Fulham 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.72 xG1.2 xGManchester United 1.72 xG, Fulham 1.2 xG
  • Possession57%43%Manchester United 57%, Fulham 43%
  • Corners10 corners9 cornersManchester United 10 corners, Fulham 9 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls11 foulsManchester United 6 fouls, Fulham 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 21′ · 0.01 xG · on targetBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAndreas Pereira · Fulham · 4′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 41′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarrison Reed · Fulham · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKobbie Mainoo · Manchester United · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCasemiro · Manchester United · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOmari Forson · Manchester United · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTosin Adarabioyo · Fulham · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarrison Reed · Fulham · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 71′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 73′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHarry Maguire · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Dalot · Manchester United · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKobbie Mainoo · Manchester United · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Pereira · Fulham · 39′ · 0.06 xG · on targetScott McTominay · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 60′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCalvin Bassey · Fulham · 65′ · 0.08 xG · goalHarry Wilson · Fulham · 79′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 18′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedHarry Maguire · Manchester United · 27′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCalvin Bassey · Fulham · 65′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 14′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSaša Lukić · Fulham · 21′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 90′ · 0.14 xG · goalVictor Lindelöf · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 33′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedHarry Maguire · Manchester United · 80′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedHarry Maguire · Manchester United · 89′ · 0.68 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester United: 21 shots, 8 on target, 1.70 xG. Fulham: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.19 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Harry Maguire · Manchester United · 89′Calvin Bassey · Fulham · 65′Alex Iwobi · Fulham · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester United 1.70 xG · Fulham 1.19 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Manchester United
0Draws
0Fulham
Fulham — Manchester United · Premier League0–1
Manchester United — Fulham · Premier League2–1
Fulham — Manchester United · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester United favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Fulham in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester United26 matchesFulham26 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored26/261.38 goals/match
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.62 goals/match
1.56 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.27 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots26/2612.4 shots/match
4.92 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/264.46 shots/match
51.2% ●Possession26/2650.7%
6.46 corners/match ●Corners26/265.58 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls26/269.73 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Feb 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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