Premier League · 2023Sat, 24 Feb 2024, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Brighton & Hove Albion

DLWLW

1–1Full-time recap

Everton

DDDLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Brighton & Hove Albion	Everton
Shots	23 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.41 xG/match▲	0.29 xG/match
Possession	65%●	35%
Corners	11 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Brighton & Hove Albion: 23 shots, 7 on target, 1.42 xG. Everton: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 1.42 xG · Everton 0.30 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.08 goals/match	1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.3%●PossessionBrighton & Hove Albion · Everton39%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Brighton & Hove Albion	Everton	Baseline
Possession	62.3%	39%	48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Brighton & Hove Albion have a visible home split

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season15.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	17.8 shots/match	15.2 shots/match	13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Brighton & Hove Albion

1Draws

2Everton

4 Nov 2023Everton — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–1

8 May 2023Brighton & Hove Albion — Everton · Premier League1–5

3 Jan 2023Everton — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–4

2 Jan 2022Everton — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–3

28 Aug 2021Brighton & Hove Albion — Everton · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Everton in 2 · 4 too close

1.88 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 26/261.08 goals/match

1.58 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/26▲1.31 goals/match

1.72 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 26/261.49 xG/match

1.44 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 26/261.38 xG/match

15.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 26/2613.5 shots/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 26/2614 shots/match

6.15 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 26/264.31 shots/match

4.31 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/264.31 shots/match

62.3%●Possessionseason · 26/2639%

5.54 corners/match●Cornersseason · 26/264.62 corners/match

4.15 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 26/266.23 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2612.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

12%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/26▲31%

85%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2662%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brighton & Hove Albion92.5

Everton7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brighton & Hove Albion77.5

Everton34.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brighton & Hove Albion70

Everton70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brighton & Hove Albion12.5

Everton97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion37.5

Everton77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion52.5

Everton27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brighton & Hove Albion63.8

Everton48.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion26 matchesEverton26 matches

1.88 goals/match▲Goals scored26/261.08 goals/match

1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲1.31 goals/match

1.72 xG/match▲Expected goals26/261.49 xG/match

15.2 shots/match▲Shots26/2613.5 shots/match

6.15 shots/match▲Shots on target26/264.31 shots/match

62.3%●Possession26/2639%

5.54 corners/match●Corners26/264.62 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Brighton & Hove Albion13 matchesEverton13 matches

2.08 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.08 goals/match

1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.46 goals/match

1.98 xG/match▲Expected goals13/131.13 xG/match

17.8 shots/match▲Shots13/1311.4 shots/match

7.08 shots/match▲Shots on target13/133.69 shots/match

63.8%●Possession13/1337.2%

7.54 corners/match●Corners13/134.08 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.79 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples26 / 26home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Feb 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4