Premier League · 2023Sun, 18 Feb 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
05Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield UnitedBrighton & Hove Albion
Shots6 shots/match24 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match10 shots/match
Expected goals0.59 xG/match2.9 xG/match
Possession21%79%
Corners5 corners/match10 corners/match
Fouls3 fouls/match5 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Sheffield United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

36%PossessionSheffield United · Brighton & Hove Albion62.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 26.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSheffield UnitedBrighton & Hove AlbionBaseline
Possession36%62.2%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Sheffield United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sheffield United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9 shots/matchShotsSheffield United · Brighton & Hove Albion14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSheffield UnitedBrighton & Hove AlbionBaseline
Shots9 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against17.4 shots/match12 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Sheffield United
1Draws
0Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove AlbionSheffield United · Premier League11

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sheffield United favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 11 · 2 too close

0.88 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 25/251.92 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 25/251.6 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 25/251.73 xG/match
2.03 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 25/251.48 xG/match
9 shots/matchShotsseason · 25/2514.8 shots/match
17.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 25/2512 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 24/256.12 shots/match
6.96 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/254.36 shots/match
36%Possessionseason · 25/2562.2%
3.32 corners/matchCornersseason · 25/255.32 corners/match
7.36 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 25/254.2 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/2510.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
4%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/2512%
60%Scoring frequencyseason · 25/2584%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield United2.5
Brighton & Hove Albion92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield United2.5
Brighton & Hove Albion77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield United2.5
Brighton & Hove Albion68.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield United22.5
Brighton & Hove Albion12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United67.5
Brighton & Hove Albion37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United2.5
Brighton & Hove Albion52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield United18.8
Brighton & Hove Albion63.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sheffield United25 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion25 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored25/251.92 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed25/251.6 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals25/251.73 xG/match
9 shots/matchShots25/2514.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target24/256.12 shots/match
36%Possession25/2562.2%
3.32 corners/matchCorners25/255.32 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFouls25/2510.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sheffield United13 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion13 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored13/131.69 goals/match
2.77 goals/matchGoals allowed13/131.92 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.46 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots13/1312.5 shots/match
3.46 shots/matchShots on target13/135.23 shots/match
37.8%Possession13/1360.7%
3.92 corners/matchCorners13/133.54 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1310.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Feb 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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