PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Fulham 3–0 Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League

Fulham

DDWLW
3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fulham won 3–0.

Shots
1215
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.31.34
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fulham beat Brighton & Hove Albion 3–0. Recorded in this match (Fulham – Brighton & Hove Albion): shots 12–15, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.3–1.34, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fulham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fulham have a visible home split

moderate

Fulham's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.9%PossessionFulham · Brighton & Hove Albion● 62.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFulhamBrighton & Hove AlbionBaseline
Possession49.9%62.6%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots15 shotsFulham 12 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsFulham 5 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.3 xG1.34 xGFulham 1.3 xG, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.34 xG
  • Possession30%70%Fulham 30%, Brighton & Hove Albion 70%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersFulham 2 corners, Brighton & Hove Albion 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls10 foulsFulham 16 fouls, Brighton & Hove Albion 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Julio Enciso · Brighton & Hove Albion · 2′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAndreas Pereira · Fulham · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dunk · Brighton & Hove Albion · 47′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTosin Adarabioyo · Fulham · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnsu Fati · Brighton & Hove Albion · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnsu Fati · Brighton & Hove Albion · 80′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAdam Lallana · Brighton & Hove Albion · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdam Webster · Brighton & Hove Albion · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPervis Estupiñán · Brighton & Hove Albion · 87′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJulio Enciso · Brighton & Hove Albion · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Brighton & Hove Albion · 28′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Pereira · Fulham · 61′ · 0.06 xG · on targetEvan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHarrison Reed · Fulham · 10′ · 0.08 xG · on targetHarry Wilson · Fulham · 21′ · 0.08 xG · goalRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 32′ · 0.08 xG · goalHarry Wilson · Fulham · 49′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHarry Wilson · Fulham · 51′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Pereira · Fulham · 53′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedHarry Wilson · Fulham · 67′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 62′ · 0.16 xG · on targetFacundo Buonanotte · Brighton & Hove Albion · 79′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAdama Traoré · Fulham · 90′ · 0.42 xG · goalEvan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 59′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fulham: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.27 xG. Brighton & Hove Albion: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Harry Wilson · Fulham · 21′Rodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 32′Adama Traoré · Fulham · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fulham 1.27 xG · Brighton & Hove Albion 1.33 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fulham
1Draws
0Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion — Fulham · Premier League1–1
Brighton & Hove Albion — Fulham · Premier League0–1
Fulham — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fulham favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fulham27 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion27 matches
1.44 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.81 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed27/271.63 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.7 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 15.1 shots/match
4.48 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 6.11 shots/match
49.9%Possession27/27● 62.6%
5.44 corners/matchCorners27/27● 5.56 corners/match
9.96 fouls/matchFouls27/2710.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Mar 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFulhamBrighton & Hove Albion
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headFulham — Brighton & Hove Albion
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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