PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Wolverhampton 2–1 Fulham · Premier League

2–1Historical match

Fulham

DWLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Wolverhampton won 2–1.

Shots
823
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.832.7
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wolverhampton beat Fulham 2–1. Recorded in this match (Wolverhampton – Fulham): shots 8–23, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.83–2.7, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fulham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots23 shotsWolverhampton 8 shots, Fulham 23 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsWolverhampton 3 shots, Fulham 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG2.7 xGWolverhampton 0.83 xG, Fulham 2.7 xG
  • Possession48%52%Wolverhampton 48%, Fulham 52%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersWolverhampton 3 corners, Fulham 4 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls11 foulsWolverhampton 7 fouls, Fulham 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Wolverhampton
2Draws
1Fulham
Fulham — Wolverhampton · Premier League3–2
Fulham — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–1
Wolverhampton — Fulham · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wolverhampton favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Fulham in 4 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wolverhampton28 matchesFulham28 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored28/281.43 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed28/281.57 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals28/281.32 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 12.8 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 4.57 shots/match
47.9%Possession28/28● 50%
4.29 corners/matchCorners28/28● 5.39 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls28/2810 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Mar 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWolverhamptonFulham
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headWolverhampton — Fulham
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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