PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Newcastle United 3–0 Wolverhampton · Premier League

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Newcastle United won 3–0.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
2.190.8
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Newcastle United beat Wolverhampton 3–0. Recorded in this match (Newcastle United – Wolverhampton): shots 14–12, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 2.19–0.8, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Newcastle United's recent record differs from the season

weak

Newcastle United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match2.11 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Newcastle United have a visible home split

moderate

Newcastle United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsNewcastle United 14 shots, Wolverhampton 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsNewcastle United 7 shots, Wolverhampton 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.19 xG0.8 xGNewcastle United 2.19 xG, Wolverhampton 0.8 xG
  • Possession44%56%Newcastle United 44%, Wolverhampton 56%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersNewcastle United 3 corners, Wolverhampton 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls11 foulsNewcastle United 8 fouls, Wolverhampton 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jacob Murphy · Newcastle United · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCraig Dawson · Wolverhampton · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBruno Guimarães · Newcastle United · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 24′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJean-Ricner Bellegarde · Wolverhampton · 73′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMax Kilman · Wolverhampton · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJean-Ricner Bellegarde · Wolverhampton · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJacob Murphy · Newcastle United · 29′ · 0.06 xG · on targetHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKieran Trippier · Newcastle United · 24′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNathan Fraser · Wolverhampton · 66′ · 0.08 xG · on targetTawanda Chirewa · Wolverhampton · 84′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBruno Guimarães · Newcastle United · 14′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedToti Gomes · Wolverhampton · 22′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJean-Ricner Bellegarde · Wolverhampton · 64′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDan Burn · Newcastle United · 57′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 68′ · 0.16 xG · on targetTino Livramento · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.16 xG · goalMiguel Almirón · Newcastle United · 79′ · 0.17 xG · on targetDan Burn · Newcastle United · 19′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 33′ · 0.24 xG · goalJoe Willock · Newcastle United · 56′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 14′ · 0.68 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Newcastle United: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.23 xG. Wolverhampton: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Alexander Isak · Newcastle United · 14′Anthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 33′Tino Livramento · Newcastle United · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Newcastle United 2.23 xG · Wolverhampton 0.82 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Newcastle United
2Draws
1Wolverhampton
Wolverhampton — Newcastle United · Premier League2–2
Newcastle United — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–1
Wolverhampton — Newcastle United · Premier League1–1
Newcastle United — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–0
Wolverhampton — Newcastle United · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Newcastle United favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Wolverhampton in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Newcastle United27 matchesWolverhampton27 matches
2.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.48 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed27/271.59 goals/match
1.89 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.39 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots27/2711.9 shots/match
5.3 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/274.33 shots/match
52.9% ●Possession27/2747.9%
4.63 corners/match ●Corners27/274.33 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls27/2712.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Mar 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNewcastle UnitedWolverhampton
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headNewcastle United — Wolverhampton
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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