Nottingham Forest 0–1 Liverpool — Premier League 2023/24 Match Stats

Premier League · 2023Sat, 2 Mar 2024, 15:00 UTC

Nottingham Forest

LDLWL

0–1Historical match

Liverpool

WLWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Liverpool won 0–1.

Shots: 822
Shots on target: 22
Expected goals: 0.972.07
Possession: 29%71%

Full time

What the match recorded

Liverpool beat Nottingham Forest 1–0. Recorded in this match (Nottingham Forest – Liverpool): shots 8–22, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.97–2.07, possession 29%–71%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Liverpool have a visible away split

moderate

Liverpool's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season19.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	14.6 shots/match	19.4 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsNottingham Forest · Liverpool19.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Nottingham Forest	Liverpool	Baseline
Shots	11 shots/match	19.4 shots/match	13.3 shots/match
Shots against	13.6 shots/match	11.1 shots/match	14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.1%PossessionNottingham Forest · Liverpool● 60.9%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Nottingham Forest	Liverpool	Baseline
Possession	40.1%	60.9%	48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

Shots8 shots22 shotsNottingham Forest 8 shots, Liverpool 22 shots
Shots on target2 shots2 shotsNottingham Forest 2 shots, Liverpool 2 shots
Expected goals0.97 xG2.07 xGNottingham Forest 0.97 xG, Liverpool 2.07 xG
Possession29%71%Nottingham Forest 29%, Liverpool 71%
Corners3 corners12 cornersNottingham Forest 3 corners, Liverpool 12 corners
Fouls11 fouls12 foulsNottingham Forest 11 fouls, Liverpool 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Nottingham Forest: 8 shots, 2 on target, 1.00 xG. Liverpool: 22 shots, 1 on target, 2.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nottingham Forest 1.00 xG · Liverpool 2.05 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Nottingham Forest

0Draws

2Liverpool

29 Oct 2023Liverpool — Nottingham Forest · Premier League3–0

22 Apr 2023Liverpool — Nottingham Forest · Premier League3–2

22 Oct 2022Nottingham Forest — Liverpool · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nottingham Forest favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Liverpool in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nottingham Forest27 matchesLiverpool27 matches

1.26 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 2.37 goals/match

1.81 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 0.93 goals/match

1.26 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 2.25 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 19.4 shots/match

3.52 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 6.85 shots/match

40.1%Possession27/27● 60.9%

3.7 corners/matchCorners27/27● 7.04 corners/match

11.3 fouls/matchFouls27/2712.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited

Season samples27 / 27home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Mar 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

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Match at a glance