Premier League · 2023

Brentford 2–2 Chelsea · Premier League

2–2Historical match

Chelsea

WLLWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Brentford and Chelsea drew 2–2.

Shots
1417
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.831.81
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brentford and Chelsea drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Brentford – Chelsea): shots 14–17, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.83–1.81, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Chelsea have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.2%PossessionBrentford · Chelsea● 59%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBrentfordChelseaBaseline
Possession45.2%59%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots17 shotsBrentford 14 shots, Chelsea 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsBrentford 5 shots, Chelsea 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.83 xG1.81 xGBrentford 1.83 xG, Chelsea 1.81 xG
  • Possession32%68%Brentford 32%, Chelsea 68%
  • Corners0 corners6 cornersBrentford 0 corners, Chelsea 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsBrentford 10 fouls, Chelsea 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Yoane Wissa · Brentford · 11′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBen Chilwell · Chelsea · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZanka · Brentford · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 83′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAxel Disasi · Chelsea · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedConor Gallagher · Chelsea · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVitaly Janelt · Brentford · 48′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCole Palmer · Chelsea · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 89′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 8′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSergio Reguilón · Brentford · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBen Chilwell · Chelsea · 39′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 41′ · 0.08 xG · on targetVitaly Janelt · Brentford · 52′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFrank Onyeka · Brentford · 53′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSergio Reguilón · Brentford · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Brentford · 10′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSergio Reguilón · Brentford · 50′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 69′ · 0.10 xG · goalNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 35′ · 0.12 xG · goalYoane Wissa · Brentford · 24′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 61′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 25′ · 0.18 xG · on targetAxel Disasi · Chelsea · 83′ · 0.23 xG · goalYoane Wissa · Brentford · 63′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedMads Roerslev · Brentford · 50′ · 0.58 xG · goalNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 30′ · 0.77 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brentford: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.83 xG. Chelsea: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.76 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Mads Roerslev · Brentford · 50′Yoane Wissa · Brentford · 69′Nicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 35′Axel Disasi · Chelsea · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brentford 1.83 xG · Chelsea 1.76 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Brentford
1Draws
1Chelsea
Chelsea — Brentford · Premier League0–2
Chelsea — Brentford · Premier League0–2
Brentford — Chelsea · Premier League0–0
Chelsea — Brentford · Premier League1–4
Brentford — Chelsea · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brentford favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Chelsea in 6 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brentford27 matchesChelsea26 matches
1.44 goals/matchGoals scored27/26▲ 1.69 goals/match
1.85 goals/matchGoals allowed27/26▲ 1.65 goals/match
1.64 xG/matchExpected goals27/26▲ 1.89 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots27/2613.3 shots/match
4.52 shots/matchShots on target27/26▲ 4.96 shots/match
45.2%Possession27/26● 59%
4.52 corners/matchCorners27/26● 5.08 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls27/2612.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Mar 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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