Premier League · 2023Mon, 26 Feb 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

West Ham United

DDLLL

4–2Full-time recap

Brentford

LLWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	West Ham United	Brentford
Shots	17 shots/match▲	14 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match	8 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.69 xG/match▲	0.91 xG/match
Possession	41%	59%●
Corners	1 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	5 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

West Ham United: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.71 xG. Brentford: 14 shots, 7 on target, 0.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 1.71 xG · Brentford 0.94 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.54 goals/match	1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0West Ham United

0Draws

5Brentford

4 Nov 2023Brentford — West Ham United · Premier League3–2

14 May 2023Brentford — West Ham United · Premier League2–0

30 Dec 2022West Ham United — Brentford · Premier League0–2

10 Apr 2022Brentford — West Ham United · Premier League2–0

3 Oct 2021West Ham United — Brentford · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

West Ham United favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Brentford in 6 · 5 too close

1.54 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 26/261.42 goals/match

1.77 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/261.85 goals/match

1.36 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 26/26▲1.64 xG/match

1.83 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 26/26▲1.54 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/26▲12.7 shots/match

16.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/26▲14.6 shots/match

3.96 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 26/26▲4.5 shots/match

5.92 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/26▲5.19 shots/match

41%Possessionseason · 26/26●45.7%

4.08 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/26●4.69 corners/match

6.04 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/265.85 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2610 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

19%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/2615%

77%Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2681%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham United22.5

Brentford42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham United31.7

Brentford45.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham United20.8

Brentford31.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham United72.5

Brentford57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham United40

Brentford17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham United12.5

Brentford30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham United23.1

Brentford34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

West Ham United26 matchesBrentford26 matches

1.54 goals/match▲Goals scored26/261.42 goals/match

1.77 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261.85 goals/match

1.36 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲1.64 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShots26/26▲12.7 shots/match

3.96 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲4.5 shots/match

41%Possession26/26●45.7%

4.08 corners/matchCorners26/26●4.69 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls26/2610 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

West Ham United13 matchesBrentford13 matches

1.69 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.15 goals/match

1.46 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.62 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲1.48 xG/match

10.9 shots/matchShots13/1311.2 shots/match

4.08 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲4.38 shots/match

42%Possession13/13●43%

3.77 corners/matchCorners13/13●4.46 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1310.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.02 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples26 / 26home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 27 Feb 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

Head-to-head

Team comparison

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches