Premier League · 2023

Newcastle United 4–3 West Ham United · Premier League

4–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Newcastle United won 4–3.

Shots
2410
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
4.071.42
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Newcastle United beat West Ham United 4–3. Recorded in this match (Newcastle United – West Ham United): shots 24–10, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 4.07–1.42, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Newcastle United have a visible home split

moderate

Newcastle United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.1 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Newcastle United have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.2% ●PossessionNewcastle United · West Ham United41.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNewcastle UnitedWest Ham UnitedBaseline
Possession53.2%41.1%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots10 shotsNewcastle United 24 shots, West Ham United 10 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsNewcastle United 9 shots, West Ham United 4 shots
  • Expected goals4.07 xG1.42 xGNewcastle United 4.07 xG, West Ham United 1.42 xG
  • Possession60%40%Newcastle United 60%, West Ham United 40%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersNewcastle United 3 corners, West Ham United 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls8 foulsNewcastle United 9 fouls, West Ham United 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bruno Guimarães · Newcastle United · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJacob Murphy · Newcastle United · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichail Antonio · West Ham United · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoe Willock · Newcastle United · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJacob Murphy · Newcastle United · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoe Willock · Newcastle United · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 24′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSean Longstaff · Newcastle United · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoe Willock · Newcastle United · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.06 xG · goalAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBruno Guimarães · Newcastle United · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 38′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 36′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 74′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 45′ · 0.16 xG · goalBruno Guimarães · Newcastle United · 74′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 48′ · 0.21 xG · goalTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 90′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 63′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 72′ · 0.23 xG · on targetSean Longstaff · Newcastle United · 65′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedMichail Antonio · West Ham United · 21′ · 0.44 xG · goalHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 83′ · 0.55 xG · goalAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 6′ · 0.82 xG · goalAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 77′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Newcastle United: 24 shots, 9 on target, 4.14 xG. West Ham United: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Alexander Isak · Newcastle United · 6′Alexander Isak · Newcastle United · 77′Harvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 83′Harvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 90′Michail Antonio · West Ham United · 21′Mohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 45′Jarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 48′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Newcastle United 4.14 xG · West Ham United 1.39 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Newcastle United
3Draws
1West Ham United
West Ham United — Newcastle United · Premier League2–2
West Ham United — Newcastle United · Premier League1–5
Newcastle United — West Ham United · Premier League1–1
West Ham United — Newcastle United · Premier League1–1
Newcastle United — West Ham United · Premier League2–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Newcastle United favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · West Ham United in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Newcastle United29 matchesWest Ham United30 matches
2.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/301.63 goals/match
1.76 goals/matchGoals allowed29/301.8 goals/match
1.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/301.43 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots29/3011.9 shots/match
5.34 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/304.03 shots/match
53.2% ●Possession29/3041.1%
4.55 corners/match ●Corners29/304.2 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls29/3010.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Mar 2024, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required