Premier League · 2023Sat, 30 Mar 2024, 12:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Newcastle United

WDLWL

4–3Full-time recap

West Ham United

LWWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Newcastle United	West Ham United
Shots	24 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	4.07 xG/match▲	1.42 xG/match
Possession	60%●	40%
Corners	3 corners/match	4 corners/match●
Fouls	9 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Newcastle United: 24 shots, 9 on target, 4.14 xG. West Ham United: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Newcastle United 4.14 xG · West Ham United 1.39 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Newcastle United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.6 goals/match	1.63 goals/match	1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Newcastle United have a visible home split

moderate

Newcastle United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.1 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	17.1 shots/match	13.9 shots/match	13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Newcastle United have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.2%●PossessionNewcastle United · West Ham United41.1%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Newcastle United	West Ham United	Baseline
Possession	53.2%	41.1%	49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Newcastle United

3Draws

1West Ham United

8 Oct 2023West Ham United — Newcastle United · Premier League2–2

5 Apr 2023West Ham United — Newcastle United · Premier League1–5

4 Feb 2023Newcastle United — West Ham United · Premier League1–1

19 Feb 2022West Ham United — Newcastle United · Premier League1–1

15 Aug 2021Newcastle United — West Ham United · Premier League2–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Newcastle United favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 0 · 3 too close

2.17 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 29/301.63 goals/match

1.76 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 29/301.8 goals/match

1.93 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 29/301.43 xG/match

1.76 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 29/301.86 xG/match

13.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 29/3011.9 shots/match

14 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 29/3016.8 shots/match

5.34 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 29/304.03 shots/match

5.48 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 29/306.1 shots/match

53.2%●Possessionseason · 29/3041.1%

4.55 corners/match●Cornersseason · 29/304.2 corners/match

4.93 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 29/305.9 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/3010.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

28%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/3017%

86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 29/3080%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Newcastle United62.5

West Ham United17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Newcastle United64.2

West Ham United37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Newcastle United34.2

West Ham United17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Newcastle United32.5

West Ham United82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Newcastle United12.5

West Ham United27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Newcastle United27.5

West Ham United12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Newcastle United37.5

West Ham United23.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Newcastle United29 matchesWest Ham United30 matches

2.17 goals/match▲Goals scored29/301.63 goals/match

1.76 goals/matchGoals allowed29/301.8 goals/match

1.93 xG/match▲Expected goals29/301.43 xG/match

13.9 shots/match▲Shots29/3011.9 shots/match

5.34 shots/match▲Shots on target29/304.03 shots/match

53.2%●Possession29/3041.1%

4.55 corners/match●Corners29/304.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10 fouls/matchFouls29/3010.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Newcastle United15 matchesWest Ham United15 matches

2.53 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151.6 goals/match

1.27 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/152.13 goals/match

2.43 xG/match▲Expected goals15/151.52 xG/match

17.1 shots/match▲Shots15/1512.1 shots/match

6.53 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153.93 shots/match

54.4%●Possession15/1540.3%

5.13 corners/match●Corners15/154.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.73 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

18.7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112.9 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples29 / 30home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Mar 2024, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

Newcastle United have a visible home split

The teams have contrasting possession records

Head-to-head

Team comparison

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match