Premier League · 2023Tue, 2 Apr 2024, 18:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Newcastle United

DLWLW

1–1Full-time recap

Everton

DDLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Newcastle United	Everton
Shots	18 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.44 xG/match▲	1.44 xG/match
Possession	58%●	42%
Corners	7 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Newcastle United: 18 shots, 5 on target, 2.48 xG. Everton: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Newcastle United 2.48 xG · Everton 1.47 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Newcastle United, Everton. A second useful context is: Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Newcastle United, Everton.

3.25 days▲Rest daysNewcastle United · Everton3.15 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Newcastle United	Everton	Baseline
Rest days	3.25 days	3.15 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 matches	1 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

weak

Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.03 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.03 goals/match	1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Newcastle United have a visible home split

moderate

Newcastle United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.1 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season14 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	17.1 shots/match	14 shots/match	13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Newcastle United

0Draws

2Everton

7 Dec 2023Everton — Newcastle United · Premier League3–0

27 Apr 2023Everton — Newcastle United · Premier League1–4

19 Oct 2022Newcastle United — Everton · Premier League1–0

17 Mar 2022Everton — Newcastle United · Premier League1–0

8 Feb 2022Newcastle United — Everton · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Newcastle United favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Everton in 3 · 5 too close

2.13 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 30/301.03 goals/match

1.73 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 30/30▲1.4 goals/match

1.95 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 30/301.52 xG/match

1.75 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 30/30▲1.47 xG/match

14 shots/matchShotsseason · 30/3013.8 shots/match

13.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 30/3014 shots/match

5.37 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 30/304.5 shots/match

5.4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 30/30▲4.5 shots/match

53.3%●Possessionseason · 30/3040.4%

4.63 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/30●4.77 corners/match

4.87 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 30/306.27 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3012.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/3027%

87%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 30/3063%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Newcastle United62.5

Everton12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Newcastle United69.2

Everton32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Newcastle United35.8

Everton58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Newcastle United37.5

Everton97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Newcastle United15

Everton72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Newcastle United22.5

Everton27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Newcastle United40.6

Everton46.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Newcastle United30 matchesEverton30 matches

2.13 goals/match▲Goals scored30/301.03 goals/match

1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲1.4 goals/match

1.95 xG/match▲Expected goals30/301.52 xG/match

14 shots/matchShots30/3013.8 shots/match

5.37 shots/match▲Shots on target30/304.5 shots/match

53.3%●Possession30/3040.4%

4.63 corners/matchCorners30/30●4.77 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10 fouls/matchFouls30/3012.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Newcastle United16 matchesEverton16 matches

2.44 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161 goals/match

1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.5 goals/match

2.43 xG/match▲Expected goals16/161.17 xG/match

17.1 shots/match▲Shots16/1611.8 shots/match

6.5 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163.75 shots/match

54.6%●Possession16/1639.1%

5.25 corners/match●Corners16/164.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.69 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.25 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.15 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples30 / 30home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 2 Apr 2024, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4