PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Burnley 1–1 Wolverhampton · Premier League

Burnley

LLDWD
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Burnley and Wolverhampton drew 1–1.

Shots
138
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.340.9
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Burnley and Wolverhampton drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Burnley – Wolverhampton): shots 13–8, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.34–0.9, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wolverhampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Burnley, Wolverhampton.

3.16 days ▲Rest daysBurnley · Wolverhampton3.05 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBurnleyWolverhamptonBaseline
Rest days3.16 days3.05 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Burnley have a visible home split

moderate

Burnley's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match11 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots8 shotsBurnley 13 shots, Wolverhampton 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsBurnley 6 shots, Wolverhampton 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.34 xG0.9 xGBurnley 1.34 xG, Wolverhampton 0.9 xG
  • Possession51%49%Burnley 51%, Wolverhampton 49%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersBurnley 7 corners, Wolverhampton 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsBurnley 10 fouls, Wolverhampton 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Josh Cullen · Burnley · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaxime Estève · Burnley · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWilson Odobert · Burnley · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetWilson Odobert · Burnley · 75′ · 0.02 xG · on targetManuel Benson · Burnley · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVitinho · Burnley · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDara O'Shea · Burnley · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWilson Odobert · Burnley · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeon Chiwome · Wolverhampton · 39′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDavid Datro Fofana · Burnley · 57′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatt Doherty · Wolverhampton · 23′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMax Kilman · Wolverhampton · 39′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedVitinho · Burnley · 33′ · 0.12 xG · on targetWilson Odobert · Burnley · 88′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 45′ · 0.15 xG · goalJoão Gomes · Wolverhampton · 27′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 53′ · 0.25 xG · on targetJacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 37′ · 0.31 xG · goalJacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 58′ · 0.49 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Burnley: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.35 xG. Wolverhampton: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 37′Rayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Burnley 1.35 xG · Wolverhampton 0.94 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Burnley
1Draws
1Wolverhampton
Wolverhampton — Burnley · Premier League1–0
Burnley — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–0
Wolverhampton — Burnley · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Burnley favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Wolverhampton in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Burnley31 matchesWolverhampton30 matches
1.03 goals/matchGoals scored31/30▲ 1.43 goals/match
2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed31/30▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals31/30▲ 1.36 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots31/30▲ 11.7 shots/match
3.58 shots/matchShots on target31/30▲ 4.17 shots/match
46.3%Possession31/30● 48.1%
4.94 corners/match ●Corners31/304.27 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls31/3012.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 2 Apr 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBurnleyWolverhampton
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headBurnley — Wolverhampton
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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