Premier League · 2023

Aston Villa 2–0 Wolverhampton · Premier League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Aston Villa won 2–0.

Shots
1113
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
0.981.49
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Aston Villa beat Wolverhampton 2–0. Recorded in this match (Aston Villa – Wolverhampton): shots 11–13, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 0.98–1.49, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wolverhampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.45 goals/match1.51 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wolverhampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Wolverhampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAston Villa · Wolverhampton11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAston VillaWolverhamptonBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots13 shotsAston Villa 11 shots, Wolverhampton 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsAston Villa 5 shots, Wolverhampton 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.98 xG1.49 xGAston Villa 0.98 xG, Wolverhampton 1.49 xG
  • Possession48%52%Aston Villa 48%, Wolverhampton 52%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersAston Villa 5 corners, Wolverhampton 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls19 foulsAston Villa 11 fouls, Wolverhampton 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Max Kilman · Wolverhampton · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTommy Doyle · Wolverhampton · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeon Bailey · Aston Villa · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJhon Durán · Aston Villa · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNélson Semedo · Wolverhampton · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 22′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLeon Chiwome · Wolverhampton · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPau Torres · Aston Villa · 33′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNicolò Zaniolo · Aston Villa · 67′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNathan Fraser · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEzri Konsa · Aston Villa · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Diaby · Aston Villa · 36′ · 0.07 xG · goalEzri Konsa · Aston Villa · 65′ · 0.07 xG · goalMatt Doherty · Wolverhampton · 87′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Aston Villa · 66′ · 0.11 xG · on targetPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 10′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 52′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 56′ · 0.16 xG · on targetOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 28′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedDiego Carlos · Aston Villa · 47′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 15′ · 0.66 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Aston Villa: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.98 xG. Wolverhampton: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Moussa Diaby · Aston Villa · 36′Ezri Konsa · Aston Villa · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Aston Villa 0.98 xG · Wolverhampton 1.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Aston Villa
2Draws
3Wolverhampton
Wolverhampton — Aston Villa · Premier League1–1
Wolverhampton — Aston Villa · Premier League1–0
Aston Villa — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–1
Wolverhampton — Aston Villa · Premier League2–1
Aston Villa — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Aston Villa favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Wolverhampton in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Aston Villa30 matchesWolverhampton29 matches
2.07 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/291.45 goals/match
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/291.59 goals/match
1.79 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/291.37 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots30/2911.8 shots/match
5.53 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/294.24 shots/match
55.1% ●Possession30/2948%
6.3 corners/match ●Corners30/294.28 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls30/2912.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Mar 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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