Tottenham Hotspur
Premier League · 2023Tottenham Hotspur 2–1 Luton Town · Premier League
A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.
Match at a glance
Tottenham Hotspur won 2–1.
- Shots
- 17–7
- Shots on target
- 4–3
- Expected goals
- 2.99–0.52
- Possession
- 70%–30%
Full time
What the match recorded
Tottenham Hotspur beat Luton Town 2–1. Recorded in this match (Tottenham Hotspur – Luton Town): shots 17–7, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 2.99–0.52, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Luton Town's recent record differs from the season
weakLuton Town's last-five shots average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 9.4 shots/match | 11.7 shots/match | 13.9 shots/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
The teams have contrasting possession records
strongTottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.8 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Tottenham Hotspur | Luton Town | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 61.4% | 41.6% | 49.2% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
Tottenham Hotspur show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateTottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Tottenham Hotspur | Luton Town | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 15.5 shots/match | 11.7 shots/match | 13.9 shots/match |
| Shots against | 12.8 shots/match | 17.3 shots/match | 13.9 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
This match
Match statistics
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Tottenham Hotspur favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Luton Town in 1
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
Tottenham Hotspur / Luton Town
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- The fixture is outside the configured active season.
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
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