PitchMath
Premier League · 2023Sat, 30 Mar 2024, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
3–3Full-time recap

Fulham

LWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield UnitedFulham
Shots8 shots/match24 shots/match▲
Shots on target4 shots/match9 shots/match▲
Expected goals1.89 xG/match▲1.3 xG/match
Possession26%74%●
Corners2 corners/match15 corners/match●
Fouls10 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Alex Iwobi · Fulham · 10′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJayden Bogle · Sheffield United · 39′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntonee Robinson · Fulham · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAntonee Robinson · Fulham · 7′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAnel Ahmedhodžić · Sheffield United · 34′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTosin Adarabioyo · Fulham · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCalvin Bassey · Fulham · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTosin Adarabioyo · Fulham · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoão Palhinha · Fulham · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 41′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdama Traoré · Fulham · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBobby De Cordova-Reid · Fulham · 86′ · 0.05 xG · goalJayden Bogle · Sheffield United · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 38′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJoão Palhinha · Fulham · 62′ · 0.07 xG · goalTom Cairney · Fulham · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 55′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 90′ · 0.09 xG · goalJoão Palhinha · Fulham · 77′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSaša Lukić · Fulham · 49′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 38′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedBen Brereton Díaz · Sheffield United · 70′ · 0.48 xG · goalBen Brereton Díaz · Sheffield United · 58′ · 0.58 xG · goalOli McBurnie · Sheffield United · 68′ · 0.73 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield United: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.95 xG. Fulham: 24 shots, 9 on target, 1.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ben Brereton Díaz · Sheffield United · 58′Oli McBurnie · Sheffield United · 68′Ben Brereton Díaz · Sheffield United · 70′João Palhinha · Fulham · 62′Bobby De Cordova-Reid · Fulham · 86′Rodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield United 1.95 xG · Fulham 1.31 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fulham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Sheffield United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fulham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.53 goals/match1.51 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sheffield United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sheffield United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.03 shots/match▲ShotsSheffield United · Fulham13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSheffield UnitedFulhamBaseline
Shots9.03 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against18.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Fulham have recorded the higher season possession share.

34.9%PossessionSheffield United · Fulham●50.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSheffield UnitedFulhamBaseline
Possession34.9%50.6%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Sheffield United
0Draws
1Fulham
Fulham — Sheffield United · Premier League3–1
Sheffield United — Fulham · Championship4–0
Fulham — Sheffield United · Championship0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sheffield United favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Fulham in 11 · 2 too close

0.93 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 29/30▲1.53 goals/match
2.66 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 29/30▲1.57 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 29/30▲1.37 xG/match
2.04 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 29/30▲1.76 xG/match
9.03 shots/matchShotsseason · 29/30▲13.3 shots/match
18.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 29/30▲13.8 shots/match
3.18 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 28/30▲4.8 shots/match
7.14 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 28/30▲5.13 shots/match
34.9%Possessionseason · 29/30●50.6%
3.24 corners/matchCornersseason · 29/30●5.67 corners/match
7.62 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 29/30▲4.77 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/3010.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
3%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/30▲27%
59%Scoring frequencyseason · 29/30▲67%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield United2.5
Fulham57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield United2.5
Fulham47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield United2.5
Fulham55.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield United27.5
Fulham42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United57.5
Fulham17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United2.5
Fulham62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield United16.2
Fulham42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sheffield United29 matchesFulham30 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored29/30▲1.53 goals/match
2.66 goals/matchGoals allowed29/30▲1.57 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals29/30▲1.37 xG/match
9.03 shots/matchShots29/30▲13.3 shots/match
3.18 shots/matchShots on target28/30▲4.8 shots/match
34.9%Possession29/30●50.6%
3.24 corners/matchCorners29/30●5.67 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.4 fouls/matchFouls29/3010.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sheffield United15 matchesFulham15 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲1.13 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲2.13 goals/match
1.18 xG/match▲Expected goals15/151.07 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots15/15▲11.9 shots/match
3.27 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲4.73 shots/match
35.7%Possession15/15●45.7%
3.53 corners/matchCorners15/15●5.27 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.1 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples29 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Mar 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSheffield UnitedFulham
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Sheffield United vs Fulham — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath