Premier League · 2023Tue, 2 Apr 2024, 19:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

West Ham United

WWDDL

1–1Full-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

LWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	West Ham United	Tottenham Hotspur
Shots	11 shots/match	13 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.49 xG/match▲	0.96 xG/match
Possession	32%	68%●
Corners	9 corners/match●	5 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

West Ham United: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.45 xG. Tottenham Hotspur: 13 shots, 4 on target, 0.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 1.45 xG · Tottenham Hotspur 0.94 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Ham United, Tottenham Hotspur. A second useful context is: West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Ham United, Tottenham Hotspur.

3.28 days▲Rest daysWest Ham United · Tottenham Hotspur3.18 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	West Ham United	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Rest days	3.28 days	3.18 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 matches	1 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

weak

West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.61 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.61 goals/match	1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.8%PossessionWest Ham United · Tottenham Hotspur●61.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	West Ham United	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Possession	40.8%	61.6%	49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2West Ham United

1Draws

2Tottenham Hotspur

7 Dec 2023Tottenham Hotspur — West Ham United · Premier League1–2

19 Feb 2023Tottenham Hotspur — West Ham United · Premier League2–0

31 Aug 2022West Ham United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–1

20 Mar 2022Tottenham Hotspur — West Ham United · Premier League3–1

24 Oct 2021West Ham United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

West Ham United favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 10 · 2 too close

1.61 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/30▲2.07 goals/match

1.77 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/30▲1.47 goals/match

1.43 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 31/30▲1.79 xG/match

1.83 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 31/30▲1.65 xG/match

11.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/30▲15.4 shots/match

16.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/30▲12.8 shots/match

4.03 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/30▲5.73 shots/match

6.03 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/30▲4.37 shots/match

40.8%Possessionseason · 31/30●61.6%

4.35 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/30●5.9 corners/match

5.87 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 31/306.37 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3011 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

16%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/30▲20%

81%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/30▲97%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham United17.5

Tottenham Hotspur87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham United39.2

Tottenham Hotspur78.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham United19.2

Tottenham Hotspur69.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham United77.5

Tottenham Hotspur22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham United27.5

Tottenham Hotspur47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham United17.5

Tottenham Hotspur67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham United26.2

Tottenham Hotspur68.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

West Ham United31 matchesTottenham Hotspur30 matches

1.61 goals/matchGoals scored31/30▲2.07 goals/match

1.77 goals/matchGoals allowed31/30▲1.47 goals/match

1.43 xG/matchExpected goals31/30▲1.79 xG/match

11.9 shots/matchShots31/30▲15.4 shots/match

4.03 shots/matchShots on target31/30▲5.73 shots/match

40.8%Possession31/30●61.6%

4.35 corners/matchCorners31/30●5.9 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls31/3011 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

West Ham United16 matchesTottenham Hotspur15 matches

1.63 goals/matchGoals scored16/15▲2.07 goals/match

1.44 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/151.6 goals/match

1.35 xG/matchExpected goals16/15▲1.49 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShots16/15▲13.3 shots/match

4.13 shots/matchShots on target16/15▲4.93 shots/match

41.3%Possession16/15●61.1%

4.31 corners/matchCorners16/15●5.13 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1511.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.28 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.18 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples31 / 30home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 2 Apr 2024, 23:15 UTC · analysis-v4