Premier League · 2023

Brentford 1–1 Manchester United · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Brentford and Manchester United drew 1–1.

Shots
3111
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
3.290.59
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brentford and Manchester United drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Brentford – Manchester United): shots 31–11, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 3.29–0.59, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brentford's recent record differs from the season

weak

Brentford's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Brentford have a visible home split

moderate

Brentford's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots31 shots11 shotsBrentford 31 shots, Manchester United 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsBrentford 5 shots, Manchester United 5 shots
  • Expected goals3.29 xG0.59 xGBrentford 3.29 xG, Manchester United 0.59 xG
  • Possession47%53%Brentford 47%, Manchester United 53%
  • Corners14 corners4 cornersBrentford 14 corners, Manchester United 4 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls14 foulsBrentford 7 fouls, Manchester United 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ivan Toney · Brentford · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 42′ · 0.01 xG · on targetBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Brentford · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZanka · Brentford · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVitaly Janelt · Brentford · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Dalot · Manchester United · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Manchester United · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKeane Lewis-Potter · Brentford · 77′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 81′ · 0.02 xG · on targetZanka · Brentford · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Brentford · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 50′ · 0.03 xG · on targetScott McTominay · Manchester United · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKeane Lewis-Potter · Brentford · 43′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYehor Yarmoliuk · Brentford · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Brentford · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVitaly Janelt · Brentford · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYehor Yarmoliuk · Brentford · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVitaly Janelt · Brentford · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Dalot · Manchester United · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKristoffer Ajer · Brentford · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Brentford · 86′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedZanka · Brentford · 22′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 54′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Brentford · 83′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Brentford · 34′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Brentford · 40′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMason Mount · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.11 xG · goalHarry Maguire · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 25′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 58′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Højlund · Manchester United · 54′ · 0.15 xG · on targetYehor Yarmoliuk · Brentford · 55′ · 0.15 xG · on targetKeane Lewis-Potter · Brentford · 18′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedKeane Lewis-Potter · Brentford · 61′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 78′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 38′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedKeane Lewis-Potter · Brentford · 70′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Brentford · 24′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedKeane Lewis-Potter · Brentford · 55′ · 0.32 xG · on targetKristoffer Ajer · Brentford · 90′ · 0.37 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brentford: 31 shots, 5 on target, 3.36 xG. Manchester United: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Kristoffer Ajer · Brentford · 90′Mason Mount · Manchester United · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brentford 3.36 xG · Manchester United 0.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Brentford
0Draws
4Manchester United
Manchester United — Brentford · Premier League2–1
Manchester United — Brentford · Premier League1–0
Brentford — Manchester United · Premier League4–0
Manchester United — Brentford · Premier League3–0
Brentford — Manchester United · Premier League1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brentford favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Manchester United in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brentford30 matchesManchester United29 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored30/291.38 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed30/29▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.66 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/291.52 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots30/29▲ 14.2 shots/match
4.53 shots/matchShots on target30/29▲ 4.9 shots/match
44.5%Possession30/29● 50.4%
4.8 corners/matchCorners30/29● 6.17 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls30/2910.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 Mar 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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