PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Bournemouth 2–1 Everton · Premier League

2–1Historical match

Everton

LDDLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bournemouth won 2–1.

Shots
117
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.321.01
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bournemouth beat Everton 2–1. Recorded in this match (Bournemouth – Everton): shots 11–7, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.32–1.01, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bournemouth's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bournemouth's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.51 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots7 shotsBournemouth 11 shots, Everton 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsBournemouth 4 shots, Everton 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.32 xG1.01 xGBournemouth 1.32 xG, Everton 1.01 xG
  • Possession49%51%Bournemouth 49%, Everton 51%
  • Corners9 corners8 cornersBournemouth 9 corners, Everton 8 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsBournemouth 14 fouls, Everton 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bournemouth
0Draws
2Everton
Everton — Bournemouth · Premier League3–0
Everton — Bournemouth · Premier League1–0
Bournemouth — Everton · Premier League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bournemouth favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Everton in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bournemouth29 matchesEverton29 matches
1.48 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.03 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 1.41 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals29/291.52 xG/match
14.2 shots/matchShots29/2913.9 shots/match
4.97 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/294.55 shots/match
44.6% ●Possession29/2940.3%
6.34 corners/match ●Corners29/294.83 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls29/2912.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Mar 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBournemouthEverton
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headBournemouth — Everton
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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