Premier League · 2023Sat, 6 Apr 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Everton

DLLLD

1–0Full-time recap

Burnley

LDWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Everton	Burnley
Shots	12 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	0.94 xG/match▲	0.46 xG/match
Possession	37%	63%●
Corners	3 corners/match	5 corners/match●
Fouls	11 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Everton: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.93 xG. Burnley: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Everton 0.93 xG · Burnley 0.46 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Burnley's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Everton, Burnley. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Burnley's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Burnley's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Everton, Burnley.

3.81 days▲Rest daysEverton · Burnley3.8 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Everton	Burnley	Baseline
Rest days	3.81 days	3.8 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Burnley have a visible away split

moderate

Burnley's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.75 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.75 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Everton

0Draws

1Burnley

16 Dec 2023Burnley — Everton · Premier League0–2

6 Apr 2022Burnley — Everton · Premier League3–2

13 Sept 2021Everton — Burnley · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Everton favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Burnley in 0 · 5 too close

1.03 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/321 goals/match

1.35 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 31/322.09 goals/match

1.5 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 31/321 xG/match

1.44 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 31/321.81 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 31/3210.8 shots/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 31/3215.4 shots/match

4.45 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 31/323.5 shots/match

4.39 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 31/326 shots/match

40.3%Possessionseason · 31/32●46.8%

4.71 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/32●4.94 corners/match

6.23 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/326.16 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3211.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/326%

65%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3263%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Everton7.5

Burnley42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Everton34.2

Burnley7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Everton70.8

Burnley14.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Everton97.5

Burnley2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Everton72.5

Burnley52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Everton35

Burnley42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Everton49.4

Burnley27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Everton31 matchesBurnley32 matches

1.03 goals/matchGoals scored31/321 goals/match

1.35 goals/match▲Goals allowed31/322.09 goals/match

1.5 xG/match▲Expected goals31/321 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots31/3210.8 shots/match

4.45 shots/match▲Shots on target31/323.5 shots/match

40.3%Possession31/32●46.8%

4.71 corners/matchCorners31/32●4.94 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFouls31/3211.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Everton15 matchesBurnley16 matches

1.07 goals/match▲Goals scored15/161 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/161.94 goals/match

1.85 xG/match▲Expected goals15/160.83 xG/match

15.9 shots/match▲Shots15/168.75 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target15/163.13 shots/match

41.6%Possession15/16●42.5%

4.93 corners/match●Corners15/164 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1612.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.81 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.8 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples31 / 32home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Apr 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Burnley's recent record differs from the season

Recent scheduling adds useful context

Burnley have a visible away split

Head-to-head

Team comparison

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match