Premier League · 2023Sat, 6 Apr 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Wolverhampton

WLWLD

1–2Full-time recap

West Ham United

WDDLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Wolverhampton	West Ham United
Shots	14 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.47 xG/match▲	1.16 xG/match
Possession	58%●	42%
Corners	4 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Wolverhampton: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.52 xG. West Ham United: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.19 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wolverhampton 1.52 xG · West Ham United 1.19 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Wolverhampton, West Ham United. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Wolverhampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.42 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.42 goals/match	1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Wolverhampton, West Ham United.

3.8 days▲Rest daysWolverhampton · West Ham United3.78 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Wolverhampton	West Ham United	Baseline
Rest days	3.8 days	3.78 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Wolverhampton

0Draws

3West Ham United

17 Dec 2023West Ham United — Wolverhampton · Premier League3–0

14 Jan 2023Wolverhampton — West Ham United · Premier League1–0

1 Oct 2022West Ham United — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–0

27 Feb 2022West Ham United — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–0

20 Nov 2021Wolverhampton — West Ham United · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Wolverhampton favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 1 · 7 too close

1.42 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/32▲1.63 goals/match

1.58 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 31/321.75 goals/match

1.36 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 31/321.42 xG/match

1.68 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 31/321.82 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/3211.9 shots/match

14 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 31/3216.6 shots/match

4.26 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 31/324.03 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 31/326.06 shots/match

48.4%●Possessionseason · 31/3240.9%

4.26 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/32●4.34 corners/match

5.74 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/325.81 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3210.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

16%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3216%

81%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3281%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Wolverhampton47.5

West Ham United17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Wolverhampton32.5

West Ham United39.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Wolverhampton50

West Ham United17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Wolverhampton12.5

West Ham United82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Wolverhampton92.5

West Ham United27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Wolverhampton12.5

West Ham United17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Wolverhampton41.2

West Ham United26.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Wolverhampton31 matchesWest Ham United32 matches

1.42 goals/matchGoals scored31/32▲1.63 goals/match

1.58 goals/match▲Goals allowed31/321.75 goals/match

1.36 xG/matchExpected goals31/321.42 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShots31/3211.9 shots/match

4.26 shots/match▲Shots on target31/324.03 shots/match

48.4%●Possession31/3240.9%

4.26 corners/matchCorners31/32●4.34 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.5 fouls/matchFouls31/3210.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Wolverhampton15 matchesWest Ham United16 matches

1.53 goals/matchGoals scored15/16▲1.63 goals/match

1.53 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/162.06 goals/match

1.34 xG/matchExpected goals15/16▲1.5 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShots15/1612 shots/match

4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target15/163.94 shots/match

49.4%●Possession15/1640.4%

5.13 corners/match●Corners15/164.38 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1610.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.78 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples31 / 32home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Apr 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4