Premier League · 2024Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Nottingham Forest

1–1Full-time recap

Wolverhampton

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Nottingham Forest	Wolverhampton
Shots	16 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.04 xG/match▲	0.74 xG/match
Possession	52%●	48%
Corners	7 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	18 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Nottingham Forest: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.05 xG. Wolverhampton: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nottingham Forest 1.05 xG · Wolverhampton 0.77 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Nottingham Forest's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Nottingham Forest show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Nottingham Forest's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.7 shots/match▲ShotsNottingham Forest · Wolverhampton10.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Nottingham Forest	Wolverhampton	Baseline
Shots	17.7 shots/match	10.7 shots/match	12.5 shots/match
Shots against	9.67 shots/match	16 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15.3 fouls/matchFoulsNottingham Forest · Wolverhampton15 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Nottingham Forest	Wolverhampton	Baseline
Fouls	15.3 fouls/match	15 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Nottingham Forest

3Draws

1Wolverhampton

13 Apr 2024Nottingham Forest — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–2

9 Dec 2023Wolverhampton — Nottingham Forest · Premier League1–1

1 Apr 2023Nottingham Forest — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–1

15 Oct 2022Wolverhampton — Nottingham Forest · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Nottingham Forest favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Wolverhampton in 0 · 13 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31 goals/match

0.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/33 goals/match

1.6 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.06 xG/match

0.7 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.32 xG/match

17.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/310.7 shots/match

9.67 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/316 shots/match

7 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/33.33 shots/match

2.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/36.33 shots/match

46.7%●Possessionseason · 3/345%

6.33 corners/match●Cornersseason · 3/33.33 corners/match

4.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/36.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

15.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/315 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Nottingham Forest60.7

Wolverhampton46.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Nottingham Forest76.2

Wolverhampton26.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Nottingham Forest86.9

Wolverhampton16.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Nottingham Forest96.4

Wolverhampton25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Nottingham Forest96.4

Wolverhampton82.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Nottingham Forest75

Wolverhampton14.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Nottingham Forest91.1

Wolverhampton34.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Nottingham Forest3 matchesWolverhampton3 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored3/31 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/33 goals/match

1.6 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.06 xG/match

17.7 shots/match▲Shots3/310.7 shots/match

7 shots/match▲Shots on target3/33.33 shots/match

46.7%●Possession3/345%

6.33 corners/match●Corners3/33.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.3 fouls/matchFouls3/315 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Nottingham Forest2 matchesWolverhampton2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.04 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4