Premier League · 2024Sun, 25 Aug 2024, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
26Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWolverhamptonChelsea
Shots12 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match8 shots/match
Expected goals1.96 xG/match1.68 xG/match
Possession40%60%
Corners5 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Rodrigo Gomes · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJoão Gomes · Wolverhampton · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 41′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCole Palmer · Chelsea · 45′ · 0.04 xG · goalCole Palmer · Chelsea · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 2′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 18′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 58′ · 0.06 xG · goalCole Palmer · Chelsea · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 49′ · 0.07 xG · goalCole Palmer · Chelsea · 62′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Chelsea · 88′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Wolverhampton · 87′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 42′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 2′ · 0.16 xG · goalJoão Félix · Chelsea · 80′ · 0.16 xG · goalYerson Mosquera · Wolverhampton · 10′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 63′ · 0.24 xG · goalMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 18′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 18′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Wolverhampton · 45′ · 0.47 xG · goalMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 27′ · 0.48 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Wolverhampton: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.94 xG. Chelsea: 14 shots, 8 on target, 1.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Matheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 27′Jørgen Strand Larsen · Wolverhampton · 45′Nicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 2′Cole Palmer · Chelsea · 45′Noni Madueke · Chelsea · 49′Noni Madueke · Chelsea · 58′Noni Madueke · Chelsea · 63′João Félix · Chelsea · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wolverhampton 1.94 xG · Chelsea 1.67 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Wolverhampton
1Draws
1Chelsea
ChelseaWolverhampton · Premier League24
WolverhamptonChelsea · Premier League21
WolverhamptonChelsea · Premier League10
ChelseaWolverhampton · Premier League30
ChelseaWolverhampton · Premier League22

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Wolverhampton favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Chelsea in 0 · 13 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/2
Goals allowedseason · 2/2
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
Shotsseason · 2/2
Shots allowedseason · 2/2
Shots on targetseason · 2/2
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/2
Possessionseason · 2/2
Cornersseason · 2/2
Corners allowedseason · 2/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/2
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Wolverhampton
Chelsea
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Wolverhampton
Chelsea
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Wolverhampton
Chelsea
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Wolverhampton
Chelsea
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Wolverhampton
Chelsea
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Wolverhampton
Chelsea
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Wolverhampton
Chelsea
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Wolverhampton2 matchesChelsea2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Wolverhampton1 matchesChelsea1 matches
Goals scored1/1
Goals allowed1/1
Expected goals1/1
Shots1/1
Shots on target1/1
Possession1/1
Corners1/1
Cards0/0
Fouls1/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Aug 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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