Bournemouth and Newcastle United drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Bournemouth – Newcastle United): shots 16–14, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 2.26–1.69, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics
BournemouthNewcastle United
Shots16 shots14 shotsBournemouth 16 shots, Newcastle United 14 shots
Shots on target4 shots5 shotsBournemouth 4 shots, Newcastle United 5 shots
Expected goals2.26 xG1.69 xGBournemouth 2.26 xG, Newcastle United 1.69 xG
Possession39%61%Bournemouth 39%, Newcastle United 61%
Corners8 corners9 cornersBournemouth 8 corners, Newcastle United 9 corners
Fouls20 fouls8 foulsBournemouth 20 fouls, Newcastle United 8 fouls
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
Newcastle United← attackingattacking →Bournemouth
off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG
Bournemouth: 16 shots, 4 on target, 2.34 xG. Newcastle United: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.70 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
Bournemouth2.34 xGNewcastle United1.70 xG
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bournemouth 2.34 xG · Newcastle United 1.70 xG.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
1Bournemouth
3Draws
0Newcastle United
Newcastle United — Bournemouth · Premier League2–2
Bournemouth — Newcastle United · Premier League2–0
Bournemouth — Newcastle United · Premier League1–1
Newcastle United — Bournemouth · Premier League1–1
▲ led this metric● higher value (descriptive) too close
Rest before fixture · Both teams: 7.96 days
Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
Bournemouth / Newcastle United
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Aug 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4