Premier League · 2024Sun, 1 Sept 2024, 12:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Newcastle United

2–1Full-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Newcastle United	Tottenham Hotspur
Shots	9 shots/match	20 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.83 xG/match▲	1.26 xG/match
Possession	34%	66%●
Corners	7 corners/match	12 corners/match●
Fouls	16 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Tottenham Hotspur show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.67 shots/match▲ShotsNewcastle United · Tottenham Hotspur16 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Newcastle United	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Shots	8.67 shots/match	16 shots/match	12.3 shots/match
Shots against	18.3 shots/match	8.67 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

39%PossessionNewcastle United · Tottenham Hotspur●69%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 30.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Newcastle United	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Possession	39%	69%	48.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.33 corners/matchCornersNewcastle United · Tottenham Hotspur●12.3 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Newcastle United	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Corners	6.33 corners/match	12.3 corners/match	5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Newcastle United

0Draws

2Tottenham Hotspur

13 Apr 2024Newcastle United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League4–0

10 Dec 2023Tottenham Hotspur — Newcastle United · Premier League4–1

23 Apr 2023Newcastle United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League6–1

23 Oct 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Newcastle United · Premier League1–2

3 Apr 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Newcastle United · Premier League5–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Newcastle United favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 0 · 13 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/32 goals/match

0.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31 goals/match

1.26 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.62 xG/match

1.76 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.29 xG/match

8.67 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/316 shots/match

18.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/38.67 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/36.67 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/32.33 shots/match

39%Possessionseason · 3/3●69%

6.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/3●12.3 corners/match

10.7 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/34.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/312 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Newcastle United12.5

Tottenham Hotspur97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Newcastle United25

Tottenham Hotspur86.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Newcastle United40.8

Tottenham Hotspur80.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Newcastle United27.5

Tottenham Hotspur32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Newcastle United65

Tottenham Hotspur37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Newcastle United70

Tottenham Hotspur97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Newcastle United39.4

Tottenham Hotspur78.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Newcastle United3 matchesTottenham Hotspur3 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲2 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31 goals/match

1.26 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.62 xG/match

8.67 shots/matchShots3/3▲16 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲6.67 shots/match

39%Possession3/3●69%

6.33 corners/matchCorners3/3●12.3 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13 fouls/matchFouls3/312 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Newcastle United2 matchesTottenham Hotspur2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.94 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Sept 2024, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4