Premier League · 2024Sun, 1 Sept 2024, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
03Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricManchester UnitedLiverpool
Shots8 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.36 xG/match1.79 xG/match
Possession53%47%
Corners5 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Noussair Mazraoui · Manchester United · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmad Diallo · Manchester United · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNoussair Mazraoui · Manchester United · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Konaté · Liverpool · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Zirkzee · Manchester United · 52′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 89′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 56′ · 0.19 xG · goalCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 88′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 35′ · 0.30 xG · goalMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 57′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 42′ · 0.31 xG · goalJoshua Zirkzee · Manchester United · 63′ · 0.32 xG · on targetLisandro Martínez · Manchester United · 73′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Zirkzee · Manchester United · 78′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester United: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.33 xG. Liverpool: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Luis Díaz · Liverpool · 35′Luis Díaz · Liverpool · 42′Mohamed Salah · Liverpool · 56′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester United 1.33 xG · Liverpool 1.77 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11 shots/matchShotsManchester United · Liverpool16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedLiverpoolBaseline
Shots11 shots/match16 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match7.67 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Manchester United
2Draws
2Liverpool
Manchester UnitedLiverpool · Premier League22
LiverpoolManchester United · Premier League00
LiverpoolManchester United · Premier League70
Manchester UnitedLiverpool · Premier League21
LiverpoolManchester United · Premier League40

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Manchester United favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Liverpool in 0 · 13 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/32.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/30 goals/match
1.74 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/32.36 xG/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/30.79 xG/match
11 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/316 shots/match
11.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/37.67 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/35.33 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/32.33 shots/match
53.3%Possessionseason · 3/357%
5.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/37 corners/match
4.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/33.67 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/311.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/3100%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Manchester United67.5
Liverpool75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Manchester United29.2
Liverpool83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Manchester United54.2
Liverpool93.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Manchester United17.5
Liverpool72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Manchester United22.5
Liverpool32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Manchester United55
Liverpool80
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Manchester United37.5
Liverpool68.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Manchester United3 matchesLiverpool3 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/32.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30 goals/match
1.74 xG/matchExpected goals3/32.36 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots3/316 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target3/35.33 shots/match
53.3%Possession3/357%
5.33 corners/matchCorners3/37 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/311.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Manchester United2 matchesLiverpool2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.98 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Sept 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Manchester United vs Liverpool — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath