Premier League · 2024Sat, 24 Aug 2024, 11:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionManchester United
Shots14 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals2.09 xG/match1.43 xG/match
Possession48%52%
Corners4 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Diogo Dalot · Manchester United · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCasemiro · Manchester United · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYasin Ayari · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYankuba Minteh · Brighton & Hove Albion · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCasemiro · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCasemiro · Manchester United · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarry Maguire · Manchester United · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYankuba Minteh · Brighton & Hove Albion · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 77′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJames Milner · Brighton & Hove Albion · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 54′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMason Mount · Manchester United · 37′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAmad Diallo · Manchester United · 60′ · 0.08 xG · goalBilly Gilmour · Brighton & Hove Albion · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJames Milner · Brighton & Hove Albion · 52′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 55′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAmad Diallo · Manchester United · 11′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 58′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.44 xG · goalDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 32′ · 0.72 xG · goalAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 70′ · 0.74 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brighton & Hove Albion: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.03 xG. Manchester United: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Danny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 32′João Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′Amad Diallo · Manchester United · 60′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 2.03 xG · Manchester United 1.43 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Brighton & Hove Albion
0Draws
1Manchester United
Brighton & Hove AlbionManchester United · Premier League02
Manchester UnitedBrighton & Hove Albion · Premier League13
Brighton & Hove AlbionManchester United · Premier League10
Manchester UnitedBrighton & Hove Albion · Premier League12
Brighton & Hove AlbionManchester United · Premier League40

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Manchester United in 0 · 13 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/2
Goals allowedseason · 2/2
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
Shotsseason · 2/2
Shots allowedseason · 2/2
Shots on targetseason · 2/2
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/2
Possessionseason · 2/2
Cornersseason · 2/2
Corners allowedseason · 2/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/2
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester United
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester United
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester United
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester United
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester United
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester United
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester United
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion2 matchesManchester United2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Brighton & Hove Albion1 matchesManchester United1 matches
Goals scored1/1
Goals allowed1/1
Expected goals1/1
Shots1/1
Shots on target1/1
Possession1/1
Corners1/1
Cards0/0
Fouls1/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.69 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Aug 2024, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match