Nottingham Forest beat Southampton 1–0. Recorded in this match (Southampton – Nottingham Forest): shots 5–23, shots on target 1–8, expected goals 0.14–2.45, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
▲ led this metric● higher value (descriptive) too close
Rest before fixture · Both teams: 7 days
Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
Southampton / Nottingham Forest
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Aug 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4