Premier League · 2024Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Brentford

3–1Full-time recap

Southampton

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Brentford	Southampton
Shots	20 shots/match▲	18 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Expected goals	2.78 xG/match▲	1.57 xG/match
Possession	37%	63%●
Corners	2 corners/match	8 corners/match●
Fouls	10 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Brentford: 20 shots, 7 on target, 2.78 xG. Southampton: 18 shots, 6 on target, 1.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brentford 2.78 xG · Southampton 1.58 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Southampton have recorded the higher season possession share. A second useful context is: Southampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Southampton have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.3%PossessionBrentford · Southampton●68.7%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 28.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Brentford	Southampton	Baseline
Possession	40.3%	68.7%	45.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Southampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Southampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match▲ShotsBrentford · Southampton14 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Brentford	Southampton	Baseline
Shots	12.3 shots/match	14 shots/match	12.5 shots/match
Shots against	17 shots/match	15.3 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Brentford

0Draws

1Southampton

15 Mar 2023Southampton — Brentford · Premier League0–2

4 Feb 2023Brentford — Southampton · Premier League3–0

7 May 2022Brentford — Southampton · Premier League3–0

11 Jan 2022Southampton — Brentford · Premier League4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Brentford favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Southampton in 0 · 13 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/30.33 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.67 goals/match

1.64 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.16 xG/match

1.8 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.83 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/314 shots/match

17 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/315.3 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/33.67 shots/match

6.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/35.33 shots/match

40.3%Possessionseason · 3/3●68.7%

3.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/3●8 corners/match

8 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/35 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

7.67 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/312.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/333%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brentford17.9

Southampton96.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brentford59.5

Southampton36.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brentford25

Southampton33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brentford67.9

Southampton17.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brentford10.7

Southampton35.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brentford14.3

Southampton92.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brentford32.1

Southampton59

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Brentford3 matchesSouthampton3 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/30.33 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match

1.64 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.16 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShots3/3▲14 shots/match

4.67 shots/match▲Shots on target3/33.67 shots/match

40.3%Possession3/3●68.7%

3.33 corners/matchCorners3/3●8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

7.67 fouls/matchFouls3/312.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Brentford2 matchesSouthampton2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.94 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4