Premier League · 2024Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Leicester City

1–2Full-time recap

Aston Villa

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Leicester City	Aston Villa
Shots	9 shots/match	10 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.45 xG/match	1.55 xG/match▲
Possession	58%●	42%
Corners	1 corners/match	4 corners/match●
Fouls	13 fouls/match	21 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Leicester City: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.46 xG. Aston Villa: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.57 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leicester City 0.46 xG · Aston Villa 1.57 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Leicester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.67 shots/match▲ShotsLeicester City · Aston Villa12 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Leicester City	Aston Villa	Baseline
Shots	8.67 shots/match	12 shots/match	12.5 shots/match
Shots against	14.3 shots/match	10.7 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Leicester City

1Draws

2Aston Villa

4 Apr 2023Leicester City — Aston Villa · Premier League1–2

4 Feb 2023Aston Villa — Leicester City · Premier League2–4

23 Apr 2022Leicester City — Aston Villa · Premier League0–0

5 Dec 2021Aston Villa — Leicester City · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Leicester City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Aston Villa in 0 · 13 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31.33 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.33 goals/match

0.7 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.62 xG/match

1.5 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.26 xG/match

8.67 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/312 shots/match

14.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/310.7 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/33.67 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/33.33 shots/match

44.7%●Possessionseason · 3/343%

2.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/3●3.67 corners/match

8 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/32.33 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/313.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leicester City39.3

Aston Villa32.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leicester City23.8

Aston Villa41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leicester City34.5

Aston Villa69.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leicester City10.7

Aston Villa60.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leicester City35.7

Aston Villa67.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leicester City3.6

Aston Villa32.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leicester City18.8

Aston Villa42

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Leicester City3 matchesAston Villa3 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲1.33 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1.33 goals/match

0.7 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.62 xG/match

8.67 shots/matchShots3/3▲12 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲3.67 shots/match

44.7%●Possession3/343%

2.67 corners/matchCorners3/3●3.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls3/313.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Leicester City2 matchesAston Villa2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Leicester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

Head-to-head

Team comparison

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches