Premier League · 2024Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Ipswich Town

1–1Full-time recap

Fulham

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Ipswich Town	Fulham
Shots	11 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.45 xG/match	0.95 xG/match▲
Possession	49%	51%●
Corners	8 corners/match●	6 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Ipswich Town: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.45 xG. Fulham: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Ipswich Town 0.45 xG · Fulham 0.97 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Fulham have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Ipswich Town show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

6.33 shots/match▲ShotsIpswich Town · Fulham12.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Ipswich Town	Fulham	Baseline
Shots	6.33 shots/match	12.3 shots/match	12.5 shots/match
Shots against	13.7 shots/match	11.7 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Fulham have recorded the higher season possession share.

37.3%PossessionIpswich Town · Fulham●50%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.7 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Ipswich Town	Fulham	Baseline
Possession	37.3%	50%	45.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Ipswich Town favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Fulham in 0 · 13 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31 goals/match

2.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31 goals/match

0.4 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.06 xG/match

2.31 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.16 xG/match

6.33 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/312.3 shots/match

13.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/311.7 shots/match

2.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/34 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/34.33 shots/match

37.3%Possessionseason · 3/3●50%

3.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/3●7 corners/match

8.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/36.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/313 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Ipswich Town3.6

Fulham71.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Ipswich Town7.2

Fulham42.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Ipswich Town39.3

Fulham64.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Ipswich Town3.6

Fulham39.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Ipswich Town53.6

Fulham53.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Ipswich Town32.1

Fulham82.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Ipswich Town23.2

Fulham57.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Ipswich Town3 matchesFulham3 matches

0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲1 goals/match

2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1 goals/match

0.4 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.06 xG/match

6.33 shots/matchShots3/3▲12.3 shots/match

2.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲4 shots/match

37.3%Possession3/3●50%

3.67 corners/matchCorners3/3●7 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13 fouls/matchFouls3/313 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Ipswich Town2 matchesFulham2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4