Premier League · 2024Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Everton

2–3Full-time recap

Bournemouth

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Everton	Bournemouth
Shots	18 shots/match▲	17 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Expected goals	1.99 xG/match	2.37 xG/match▲
Possession	47%	53%●
Corners	8 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Everton: 18 shots, 8 on target, 1.97 xG. Bournemouth: 17 shots, 7 on target, 2.57 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Everton 1.97 xG · Bournemouth 2.57 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bournemouth have recorded the higher season possession share. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Bournemouth have recorded the higher season possession share.

38%PossessionEverton · Bournemouth●46.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Everton	Bournemouth	Baseline
Possession	38%	46.3%	45.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Everton

0Draws

2Bournemouth

30 Mar 2024Bournemouth — Everton · Premier League2–1

7 Oct 2023Everton — Bournemouth · Premier League3–0

28 May 2023Everton — Bournemouth · Premier League1–0

12 Nov 2022Bournemouth — Everton · Premier League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Everton favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 0 · 13 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31.67 goals/match

3.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.33 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.95 xG/match

2.08 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.66 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/315.3 shots/match

13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/315.3 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/35 shots/match

6.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/37 shots/match

38%Possessionseason · 3/3●46.3%

4.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/3●6 corners/match

7 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/36.33 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9.67 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/313 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%

33%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Everton10.7

Bournemouth53.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Everton26.2

Bournemouth76.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Everton28.6

Bournemouth28.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Everton75

Bournemouth82.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Everton25

Bournemouth53.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Everton53.6

Bournemouth67.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Everton35.7

Bournemouth68.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Everton3 matchesBournemouth3 matches

0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲1.67 goals/match

3.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1.33 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.95 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShots3/3▲15.3 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲5 shots/match

38%Possession3/3●46.3%

4.67 corners/matchCorners3/3●6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.67 fouls/matchFouls3/313 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Everton2 matchesBournemouth2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.04 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4