Premier League · 2024Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Crystal Palace

LLD

2–2Full-time recap

Leicester City

DLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Crystal Palace	Leicester City
Shots	20 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Expected goals	2.55 xG/match▲	1.23 xG/match
Possession	67%●	33%
Corners	5 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Crystal Palace: 20 shots, 4 on target, 2.53 xG. Leicester City: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Crystal Palace 2.53 xG · Leicester City 1.21 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Crystal Palace have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Leicester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match▲ShotsCrystal Palace · Leicester City8.75 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Crystal Palace	Leicester City	Baseline
Shots	14.3 shots/match	8.75 shots/match	13.3 shots/match
Shots against	12.3 shots/match	15.8 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Crystal Palace have recorded the higher season possession share.

54%●PossessionCrystal Palace · Leicester City41.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Crystal Palace	Leicester City	Baseline
Possession	54%	41.8%	50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Crystal Palace

2Draws

1Leicester City

1 Apr 2023Crystal Palace — Leicester City · Premier League2–1

15 Oct 2022Leicester City — Crystal Palace · Premier League0–0

10 Apr 2022Leicester City — Crystal Palace · Premier League2–1

3 Oct 2021Crystal Palace — Leicester City · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Crystal Palace favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Leicester City in 0 · 13 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.25 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.75 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/40.84 xG/match

1.65 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.77 xG/match

14.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/48.75 shots/match

12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/415.8 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/43.5 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/45.5 shots/match

54%●Possessionseason · 4/441.8%

4.75 corners/match●Cornersseason · 4/42.5 corners/match

3.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/47.25 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/413 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/40%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Crystal Palace65

Leicester City20

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Crystal Palace40

Leicester City27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Crystal Palace37.5

Leicester City25.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Crystal Palace57.5

Leicester City12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace37.5

Leicester City65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace47.5

Leicester City2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Crystal Palace45.6

Leicester City26.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Crystal Palace4 matchesLeicester City4 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.25 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.75 goals/match

1.4 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.84 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shots4/48.75 shots/match

3.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/43.5 shots/match

54%●Possession4/441.8%

4.75 corners/match●Corners4/42.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls4/413 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Crystal Palace2 matchesLeicester City2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4