PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Aston Villa 0–0 Manchester United · Premier League

0–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Aston Villa and Manchester United drew 0–0.

Shots
1110
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
0.50.56
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Aston Villa and Manchester United drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Aston Villa – Manchester United): shots 11–10, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 0.5–0.56, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Aston Villa's recent record differs from the season

weak

Aston Villa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.71 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAston Villa · Manchester United12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAston VillaManchester UnitedBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots10 shotsAston Villa 11 shots, Manchester United 10 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsAston Villa 1 shot, Manchester United 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.5 xG0.56 xGAston Villa 0.5 xG, Manchester United 0.56 xG
  • Possession54%46%Aston Villa 54%, Manchester United 46%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersAston Villa 6 corners, Manchester United 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsAston Villa 12 fouls, Manchester United 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kobbie Mainoo · Manchester United · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLeon Bailey · Aston Villa · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJaden Philogene-Bidace · Aston Villa · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatty Cash · Aston Villa · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Manchester United · 77′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 49′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYouri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 56′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Rogers · Aston Villa · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYouri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLucas Digne · Aston Villa · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Rogers · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJaden Philogene-Bidace · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJonny Evans · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Manchester United · 68′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 5′ · 0.16 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Aston Villa: 11 shots, 1 on target, 0.50 xG. Manchester United: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Aston Villa 0.50 xG · Manchester United 0.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Aston Villa
1Draws
3Manchester United
Aston Villa — Manchester United · Premier League1–2
Manchester United — Aston Villa · Premier League3–2
Manchester United — Aston Villa · Premier League1–0
Aston Villa — Manchester United · Premier League3–1
Aston Villa — Manchester United · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Aston Villa favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Manchester United in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Aston Villa7 matchesManchester United7 matches
1.71 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.71 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.59 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 12.7 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.86 shots/match
52.1%Possession7/7● 52.6%
4.14 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls7/712.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Oct 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAston VillaManchester United
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headAston Villa — Manchester United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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