Premier League · 2024Sun, 6 Oct 2024, 15:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Brighton & Hove Albion

WDDDL

3–2Full-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

WLLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Brighton & Hove Albion	Tottenham Hotspur
Shots	11 shots/match	13 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.76 xG/match▲	1.34 xG/match
Possession	41%	59%●
Corners	4 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	14 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Brighton & Hove Albion: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.75 xG. Tottenham Hotspur: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 1.75 xG · Tottenham Hotspur 1.31 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Brighton & Hove Albion

0Draws

3Tottenham Hotspur

10 Feb 2024Tottenham Hotspur — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–1

28 Dec 2023Brighton & Hove Albion — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League4–2

8 Apr 2023Tottenham Hotspur — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–1

8 Oct 2022Brighton & Hove Albion — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–1

16 Apr 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 8 · 4 too close

1.86 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/7▲2 goals/match

1.43 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/7▲1.14 goals/match

1.54 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/7▲2.15 xG/match

1.61 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/7▲1.16 xG/match

15.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/7▲17.6 shots/match

9.86 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/7▲8.71 shots/match

4.57 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/7▲6.86 shots/match

3.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/7▲3.29 shots/match

59%Possessionseason · 7/7●62.7%

5.71 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/7●9 corners/match

3.71 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 7/74.71 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/712 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/729%

86%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/786%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brighton & Hove Albion82.5

Tottenham Hotspur92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brighton & Hove Albion61.7

Tottenham Hotspur89.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brighton & Hove Albion66.7

Tottenham Hotspur84.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brighton & Hove Albion52.5

Tottenham Hotspur62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion12.5

Tottenham Hotspur47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion60

Tottenham Hotspur97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brighton & Hove Albion46.2

Tottenham Hotspur82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion7 matchesTottenham Hotspur7 matches

1.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲2 goals/match

1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1.14 goals/match

1.54 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲2.15 xG/match

15.3 shots/matchShots7/7▲17.6 shots/match

4.57 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲6.86 shots/match

59%Possession7/7●62.7%

5.71 corners/matchCorners7/7●9 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls7/712 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Brighton & Hove Albion4 matchesTottenham Hotspur4 matches

1.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.75 goals/match

1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match

1.63 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲2.09 xG/match

15 shots/matchShots4/4▲18 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲6.5 shots/match

57%Possession4/4●64%

6.5 corners/matchCorners4/4●8.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls4/412.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.06 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Oct 2024, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4